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Trudny okres dla polskiej gospodarki - prognoza rozwoju w 2013 roku i kolejnych latach

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Orłowski W. M.
Kontrola Państwowa
|
2013
|
vol. 58
|
issue 4 (351)
113-122
EN
Although over the first months of 2013 a substantial slowdown could be observed, in the rest of the year the Polish economy may gradually improve its development. We should be, however, cautiously optimistic. Firstly, because even the forecasted GDP growth at one per cent is not absolutely sure. If the situation in the Western Europe, especially in Germany, is worse than expected, there can be no growth in Poland at all. Secondly, a one per cent economic growth is very little as for the needs of Poland. This is due to the high reserves of the work effectiveness of the Polish economy, which companies willingly take advantage of, and new workplaces are created only if the speed of GDP growth exceeds three or four per cent. Thirdly, a growth in production will probably be observed with a simultaneous clear drop of the national demand. And this means a very unfavourable growth structure from the perspective of public finance.
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