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EN
The paper discusses evolution of the contemporary model of the university in Europe: from Humboldtian one to the Third Generation University. In this context three scenarios of evolution of the Polish higher education system in the perspective of 2030 (elaborated in the project “Foresight Academic Mazovia 2030”) are presented. The scenario of the “Lost Opportunities” presents the most pessimistic vision of the future of Polish universities due to unfavourable external conditions and abandonments in advanced reforms of the system. The second scenario of the “Bipolar Education” describes consequences of preserving the current system of higher education with some improvements and assumptions of the stable economic growth of Poland. The third scenario of the “Red Queen” proposes a vision of radical reforms which will lead to a fundamental restructuring of the system towards open and competitive model. Given this scenario, Polish universities would improve their relative position and competitiveness at the European and global educational markets.
EN
In 2016 and 2017 an increase in number of birth and total fertility rate was observed in Poland. An aim of the article is to present on-going changes in fertility pattern and to find specificity of the changes. Main results of the research are: 1) in case of childlessness and the first births arguments supporting continuation were found, 2) in case of subsequent births reasons supporting discontinuation were emerging (increase in probability of the second births and the third ones, decrease in age at the maternity).
PL
Lata 2016 i 2017 to okres wyraźnego wzrostu liczy urodzeń i współczynnika dzietności. Celem artykułu jest przyjrzenie się zachodzącym w latach 2016-2017 zmianom wzorca płodności i próba znalezienia ich specyfiki. Na podstawie przeprowadzonej analizy stwierdzono kontynuację trendów z zakresie bezdzietności i natężenia urodzeń pierwszych, a jednocześnie zmianę zachowań prokreacyjnych w zakresie urodzeń drugich i trzecich polegającą na zwiększeniu prawdopodobieństwa wydania dzieci takiej kolejności i przyspieszeniu momentu wydawania tych dzieci.
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