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The Capacity to Forecast Enterprise Insolvency on the Polish Market Using the Precursory Altman Z-Score Model (1968)

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Antonowicz P., Antonowicz A.
Annales Universitatis Mariae Curie-Skłodowska, sectio H – Oeconomia
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2022
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vol. 56
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issue 5
7-26
EN
Theoretical background: Many years have passed since the publication of the first multidimensional model (Z-score) of early bankruptcy warning by E.I. Altman in 1968. New models have since emerged in different countries. In this research stream, the share of econometric modelling based on the assumptions of discriminant analysis, i.e. MDA - Multiple Discriminant Analysis - one of the multidimensional classiifcation methods categorised as empirical-induction methods, plays a particularly important role. Purpose of the article: The article assesses the capacity of the Altman Z-Score to forecast (1 year ahead) insolvency of enterprises on the Polish market.
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