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  1. 2 Pieniądze i Więź

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  1. 1 Warżała R.

  2. 1 Warżała R. M.

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  1. 1 2014

  2. 1 2012

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1

Stan koniunktury gospodarczej w województwie warmińsko-mazurskim w obliczu drugiej fali kryzysu lat 2008-2011

100%
Warżała R.
Pieniądze i Więź
|
2012
|
vol. 15
|
issue 1(54)
148-160
EN
The aim of this article is to assess the economic situation in the Warmia and Mazury in 2008-2011. It is still period of unfinished crisis, starting in the end of 2008. The basis for assessment of the economic situation is the analysis of economic values such as: unemployment, level of employment, industrial production, construction and assembly production, retail sales, wage dynamics, foreign trade. With the synthetic evaluation of the economic situation of the region of Warmia and Mazury in view, there were built two indexes, taking into account current and projected state of prosperity. The results show that after a slightly better first half of 2011, follows suppressing of the growth rate, which can be seen in decreasing dynamics of these economic values.
2

Perspektywy ożywienia gospodarczego w IV kwartale 2013 r. w województwie warmińsko-mazurskim – analiza wskaźnikowa.

63%
Warżała R. M.
Pieniądze i Więź
|
2014
|
vol. 17
|
issue 2(63)
173-184
PL
Celem artykułu jest ocena perspektyw ożywienia gospodarczego w województwie warmińsko-mazurskim w IV kwartale 2013 r. Jest to drugi z kolei kwartał, w którym nastąpiła poprawa istotnych dla oceny stanu koniunktury gospodarczej wskaźników. Podstawą oceny mającego miejsce ożywienia gospodarczego jest analiza tzw. wskaźników wyprzedzających, do których należą: liczba bezrobotnych, którzy podjęli pracę, liczba ofert pracy, liczba wniosków o pozwolenia budowlane. W celu syntetycznej oceny stanu koniunktury gospodarczej regionu Warmii i Mazur, zbudowano dwa indeksy, uwzględniające bieżący i prognozowany stan koniunktury. Wyniki otrzymanych badań wskazują, iż od III kwartału 2013 r. możemy mówić o ożywieniu gospodarczym w województwie warmińsko-mazurskim.
EN
The aim of this article is to analyze the business recovery prospects in the province of Warmia and Mazury in the fourth quarter of 2013. It is the second consecutive quarter, during which there was an improvement in indicators relevant in assessing the economic situation. The basis for evaluating the economic recovery is the analysis of the so-called leading indicators, which include: number of unemployed, who obtained job, number of job offers, number of applications for construction permits. In order to measure the regional economic condition, two synthetic indicators were built. The first is the current business synthetic indicator, and the second – the forecast synthetic indicator. Both some variables and business synthetic indicators show gradual improvement in the dynamic of economic growth. That means that there was the beginning of economic recovery in warmińsko-mazurskie voivodeship in the fourth quarter of 2013.
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