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EN
The paper analyses the relationship between state capacity and political violence with reference to the Colombian civil war. It disaggregates the concept of state capacity into three components: non-violent, routine violent, and extra-ordinary violent ones. Theoretically speaking, each of them may have a different effect on insecurity. The standard argument in political conflict literature proposes that violence in civil war increases with the weakness of the state. Such a claim implies that an increase in state capacity should reduce conflict-related insecurity. Econometric analyses of municipal-level data from Colombia show that this conjuncture need not be true. The paper demonstrates that the rapid increase in the extra-ordinary violent capacity of the state on the Colombian Pacific Coast nearly doubled the amount of non-state political violence in the region between 2003 and 2009.
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EN
This paper estimates the effect of growth on civil conflict by comparing the identification strategies and the necessary assumptions for the different instrument variable approaches. We show that different exclusion restrictions might contradict each other which cast serious doubt on the validity of their identification strategies. We find it very reasonable to believe that there are causal effects between civil conflict, quality of democratic institutions and government size.Therefore, one can doubt that the way weather variations have been used to create instrument variables in the literature leads to consistently estimated parameters for the causal effect of civil conflict, quality of democratic institutions, demography and government size on civil conflict.
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Antidote to Civil War?

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PL
This paper seeks to reopen the question of legitimacy, and in particular democratic legitimacy, as an important factor affecting the course of European ‘small states’ involved in World War II. It draws attention to previously neglected or understudied but crucial aspects of wartime legitimacy, eminently the role of recognition by foreign powers, the rhetoric of the ‘Big Three’ Allies regarding post-war Europe, and the relevance of democratic legitimacy as a powerful antidote to civil conflict during the period of transition into peacetime.
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