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Oeconomia Copernicana
|
2018
|
vol. 9
|
issue 4
581-615
EN
Research background: In this research paper, an attempt is made to evaluate the impacts of ECB's unconventional monetary policy which has been applied after Global Financial Crisis. Because of the new economic and monetary conditions, the effectiveness of conventional monetary tools has been questioned. Purpose of the article: Designed models examine the consequences of unconventional monetary policy for macroeconomic variables, monetary variables and interest rates in the euro area. Particular attention is paid to the response of the price level, represented by HICP, to various monetary policy innovations. Except a shock in credit multiplier and asset purchase programme (APP), also the effectiveness of a conventional monetary tool, such as main refinancing operation (MRO) interest rate, is inspected. Methods: Use has been made of impulse responses from structural VAR models to analyze a large sample that covers the time horizon of 1999 to 2016. Several econometric tests are performed to provide a profound analysis. The conclusions from baseline models are verified in multiple robustness check models, which are specified under alternative conditions. Findings & Value added: It has been found that, in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis, conventional monetary instruments are effective in the short-run. In the long-run, unconventional monetary policy has a greater potential to stabilize the economy than the traditional interest rate transmission channel. The conclusions from the baseline models are verified in multiple robustness check models, which are specified under alternative conditions.
PL
Obecny kryzys ujawnił ograniczenia tradycyjnych modeli, które abstrahowały od znaczenia banków i innych pośredników finansowych w przekazywaniu impulsów koniunkturalnych. Kryzys ten naświetlił kluczową rolę instytucji finansowych w rozprzestrzenianiu i pogłębieniu wahań koniunkturalnych nie tylko w poszczególnych krajach, co było dostrzegane już wcześniej, ale również w skali międzynarodowej. Dla transmisji impulsów koniunkturalnych za pośrednictwem banków kluczowe znaczenie mają ich bilanse. Dzieje się tak przynajmniej z trzech powodów. Po pierwsze, z bilansami banków związane jest działanie mnożnika kredytowego. Po drugie, bilans wpływa na wykorzystywanie przez banki dźwigni finansowej. Po trzecie, stan bilansu wpływa na funkcjonowanie rynku międzybankowego. Banki uczestniczą również w dwóch formach w klasycznym procesie zarażenia. Pierwszą z nich są zachowania stadne, druga natomiast jest związana z instytucją wspólnego kredytodawcy. Wszystkie te kwestie oraz znaczenie banków prowadzących operacje transgraniczne dla transmisji koniunktury zostały omówione w niniejszym tekście.
EN
The current crisis has disclosed constraints to traditional models that neglected the importance of banks and other financial intermediaries in transmission of business situation impulses the crisis has confirmed the key role of financial institutions in proliferating and deepening business situation fluctuations not only in individual countries, which was observed previously, but also in international scale. It is balance sheets of banks that are of major significance for the transmission of business situation impulses. There are at least three reasons for the above. Firstly, the balance sheets of banks are influenced by the credit multiplier. Secondly, the balance sheet has an impact on the use of financial leverage by banks. Thirdly, the state of the balance sheet influences the functioning of interbank market. Moreover, banks are also involved dually in a classic process of infection. One of the ways refers to flock-like behavior, and the other is connected with the institution of the common creditor. All these issues as well as the importance of banks operating across-the-borders for business situation transmission have been discussed in this paper.
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