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EN
Currency substitution is widespread in less developed countries. Since it increases financial vulnerability and limits the effectiveness of monetary policy, it is often in the focus of scientists and experts. In this paper, we analyze the importance of euroization determinants in Serbia and neighboring countries - Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, FYR Macedonia, Romania and Croatia for the period 2003-2014. We examine the impact of domestic inflation, nominal exchange rate of the domestic currency against the euro, interest rate spread on domestic and foreign currency, foreign currency inflow in the form of foreign direct investments and exports, as well as the euroization of banks’financial resources on the degree of loan euroization. The results obtained by multiple regression panel methods confirm the statistical significance and assumed direction of the influence of all analyzed variables except inflation and current account balance.
EN
Devaluation is the instrument of monetary policy which has been used very often during the 20th century. In recent time of globalization, the many limited factors (openness of the economy, capital movements, currency substitution, money illusion) significantly reduce or completely make impossible the devaluation implementation as the measure for foreign trade deficit or recession overcoming in many countries. This paper discusses on positive and negative effects of devaluation in the case of Bosnia and Herzegovina economy.
EN
The author provides a comprehensive study of the features of transformation of dollarization in the context of globalisation. The theoretical and methodological bases of the study on the economic nature of dollarization are analysed, the evolution of conceptual approaches to the treatment of dollarization are investigated, the basic scientific approaches to the typology of dollarization under various classification criteria, with emphasis on the distinction between its forms and types, are systematised. A hypothesis on the modern dollarization as an objective evolutionary process due to the development of globalisation is enhanced in the thesis. The econometric analysis of the existence of equilibrium levels of financial dollarization in Ukraine was performed on the basis of hysteresis effects modelling using the multi-factor model of a long-term and short-term equilibrium level dynamics of deposit dollarization.
PL
Autor przedstawia wszechstronną analizę cech transformacji i dolaryzacji w kontekście globalizacji. Omówiono teoretyczne i metodologiczne podstawy analizy ekonomicznego charakteru dolaryzacji i zbadano ewolucję podejść koncepcyjnych do traktowania dolaryzacji oraz usystematyzowano podstawowe podejścia naukowe do typologii dolaryzacji z punktu widzenia różnych kryteriów klasyfikacji, z podkreśleniem rozróżnienia między jej formami i typami. W tezie tej rozbudowano hipotezę nowoczesnej dolaryzacji jako obiektywnego procesu ewolucyjnego w związku z rozwojem globalizacji. Przeprowadzono analizę ekonometryczną istnienia poziomów równowagi dolaryzacji finansowej na Ukrainie na podstawie modelowania efektów histerezy z zastosowaniem wieloczynnikowego modelu dynamiki poziomów długo- i krótkookresowej równowagi dolaryzacji depozytów.
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