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Election to Regional Assemblies Competition in the Light Party Election. Comparative Analysis

100%

Sulejman K.

Political Preferences

2015

issue 11

187-215

The article is an analysis of the local elections, from the perspective of the actors taking part in it. The study involved the election committees taking part in elections in 2006, 2010, and 2014. Exploration statistical data and results of the election was preceded by theoretical observations concerning the discussed issues. It outlines the legal basis for election to local government and made a typology of electoral committees, in accordance with the electoral laws in force during the specified election. It shows the level of participation of each type of election committees. In the analysis, the number of registered electoral committees, the number of candidates each gained votes and seats obtained. The model analyzes afflicting a number of key statistical data allowed to create a picture that revealed the definite advantage of election committees of political parties in electoral competition at the local government level. In addition, the cross-section analysis gave the word Stagnation scenery election, in respect of the entities competing election. The survey covered a national and provincial level. Data were analyzed in the whole country, as well as the division into 16 voivodeships. Information and data on issues taken taken from literature, existing normative acts and the data of the State Electoral Commission. We conducted a descriptive considerations of a comparative analysis using descriptive statistics methods.

Niekonkurencyjne wybory, brakujący kandydaci. Dlaczego niektóre komitety wyborcze nie wystawiają kandydatów na burmistrzów?

63%

Gendźwiłł A., Żółtak T., Rutkowski J.

Studia Regionalne i Lokalne

2015

issue 4(62)

64-79

Artykuł dotyczy problemu ograniczonej podaży kandydatów na wójtów, burmistrzów i prezydentów miast. Od 2002 r. większość komitetów wyborczych tworzonych w gminach brała udział jedynie w wyborach do rad gmin, nie wystawiając kandydatów do organu wykonawczego. W latach 2002–2010 rósł również odsetek gmin, w których do wyborów stawał jeden kandydat. Analiza regresji logistycznej pokazuje, że na decyzje komitetów wyborczych o wystawianiu kandydatów wpływa ich wielkość (popularność), a także wielkość gminy. Decyzji o niewystawianiu kandydatów sprzyja istnienie dominującego komitetu oraz start w wyborach urzędujących już burmistrzów. Znane zjawisko incumbency advantage działa zatem nie tylko podczas wyborów, ale również przed nimi (na etapie zgłaszania kandydatów).

The authors consider the problem of limited supply of candidates for mayors. Since 2002, most electoral committees in Polish municipalities have only participated in the elections for municipal councils and not for the principal executive office. Between 2002 and 2010, there was also a growing share of municipalities in which only one candidate ran. The logistic regression analysis demonstrates that the electoral committees’ decision whether or not to nominate a candidate is influenced by their size (popularity), as well as the size of the municipality. If there is a dominating committee and competing incumbents, it is less probable that another candidate would run. It is evident that the well-known effect of incumbency advantage works not only during the elections but also before them (when candidates are registered).

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1 Political Preferences

1 Studia Regionalne i Lokalne

1 Gendźwiłł A.

1 Rutkowski J.

1 Sulejman K.

1 Żółtak T.

2 2015

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Election to Regional Assemblies Competition in the Light Party Election. Comparative Analysis

Niekonkurencyjne wybory, brakujący kandydaci. Dlaczego niektóre komitety wyborcze nie wystawiają kandydatów na burmistrzów?