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Global Liquidity Determinants Across Emerging and Advanced Countries

100%
Karkowska R.
Journal of Banking and Financial Economics
|
2015
|
issue 1(3)
152-170
EN
The paper explores the concept of global liquidity and its determinants, focusing on the banking system in advanced and emerging markets. We explore the implications of the interaction between liquidity and its local, global and financial markets determinants. We also analyze the global liquidity channels, i.e. whether foreign banks play a significant role in the country’s financial system. The study focuses on the investigation of banks’ liquidity determinants in 42 countries (advanced and emerging/developing countries) over the 2000–2011 period. The results show the significance of the differences in global liquidity depending on the country’s level of development. We find support to the conjecture that globalization and global banks’ leverage may convey some useful information on global liquidity. We also present an important observation that banks’ lending in advanced countries is shielded from the monetary policy because of their ability to freely access alternative sources of funds.
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Savings and Liquidity Gluts and the American Long-Term Interest Rates Before the Great Financial Crisis

88%
Parosa G.
Zarządzanie Publiczne / Public Governance
|
2019
|
issue 4(50)
63-82
EN
Objectives: This article examines the impact of the global savings glut on the long-term interest rates in the United States before the Great Financial Crisis. It presents the impact mechanics of global savings on interest rates, discusses arguments supporting and contradicting the significance of this phenomenon, presents an alternative concept, namely global liquidity glut, and estimates the significance of both phenomena in shaping long-term interest rates in the USA before the crisis. Research Design & Methods: First, the impact of purchases of the US treasury bonds made by foreign investors on long-term interest rates is being assessed. Second, metrics representing global savings and liquidity gluts are being used to explain those purchases. Finally, a counterfactual exercise is used to reveal the impact that each of those factors had on the American ten-year treasury yields. Findings: The statistical analysis of both effects shows that foreign purchases of the Treasuries lowered the US longterm interest rates by up to 140 bps, with excess global savings depressing them by approximately 45 bps, and excess liquidity by another 75 bps. Implications / Recommendations: Monetary policy, as well as savings rates, might have wider than only local consequences. Excess liquidity and savings in one country can impact interest rates in other areas. Contribution / Value Added: This article presents an alternative and neglected in literature explanation for the phenomena of low long-term interest rates before the Great Financial Crisis in the USA, namely global liquidity glut that depressed interest rates more powerfully than excessive global savings, contributing to the development of the investment bubble on the housing market and, thus, the Great Financial Crisis.
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Endogenous money supply, global liquidity and financial transactions: Panel evidence from OECD countries

88%
Śliwiński P.
Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy
|
2023
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vol. 18
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issue 1
121-152
EN
Research background: Endogenous money creation is an inherent feature of today?s economies and widely accepted phenomenon. As the various theories of money rely on the money quantity equation, most empirical research is heading towards the analysis of the two-way relationship between the quantity of money and nominal GDP. In today's world, with the extraordinary development of the financial sector, money is used not only for transactions in the real economy, but increasingly also for purchasing financial assets. This observation was absorbed by Werner in the quantity theory of disaggregated credit. Purpose of the article: The aim of the paper is to join the debate on endogenous character of money supply by tasting a disaggregated equation of money. It assumes that the domestic money supply is positively determined not only by growth in GDP-based transactions but also by growth in non-GDP-based transactions (financial transactions). Additionally, it is assumed that in the age of globalization it can be also positively influenced by the global liquidity.  Methods:  Testing of the above-mentioned hypotheses takes place with the use of panel unit roots tests, panel Granger causality test and panel estimations (OLS, models with fixed/random effects, GMM). In the study, annual data from 2002 to 2018 for OECD countries were chosen for statistical research. Findings & value added: The article confirms the hypothesis that real and financial economic activity together with global liquidity positively influence domestic credit and thus money supply. As the amount of money in an economy is driven not only by the real economy but also by the financial economy, prudential regulations that restrict leverage (and thus control the amount of credit) and limit risk-taking during price bubbles periods should be therefore considered. In the research, the reaction of domestic money supply to the changes in US money supply is positive. It confirms the importance of spill-over effect of expansionary policy in major economies to other economies.
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