Territorial governance in suburban areas, particularly in the context of intensive residential development, requires continuous monitoring of demographic and spatial processes. This article presents a method for estimating the demographic potential of ongoing and planned housing investments, utilizing data from the General Office of Building Control and waste management declarations. The case study focuses on the Rokietnica municipality in Poznań County, which has experienced significant population growth in recent decades due to dynamic suburbanization. The analysis results indicate strong correlations between the number of new housing units and the increase in registrations, confirming the effectiveness of the proposed method in forecasting demographic changes. Despite challenges related to data quality and estimating the timing of investment completion, this method can serve as a valuable tool for local authorities and planners, enabling better alignment of social and technical infrastructure development plans with actual population needs. The analysis shows that the estimated demographic potential of new housing investments in Rokietnica is comparable to the number of registrations over the past five years, suggesting that the current level of construction activity is sufficient to maintain the existing population growth rate. The findings of this article can serve as a basis for more precise spatial planning and optimization of decisions regarding local infrastructure development.
PL
W artykule przedstawiono metodę szacowania potencjału demograficznego inwestycji mieszkaniowych na przykładzie gminy Rokietnica w powiecie poznańskim. Aby ocenić potencjalny wpływ planowanych inwestycji na wzrost liczby mieszkańców, dokonano analizy danych dotyczących pozwoleń na budowę i zgłoszeń zamierzenia budowlanego oraz tzw. deklaracji śmieciowych. Wykorzystano narzędzia GIS oraz analizę treści wspomaganą przez LLM. Uzyskane wyniki wskazują na potencjał demograficzny realizowanych i zaplanowanych inwestycji mieszkaniowych na poziomie 4,5 tys. nowych mieszkańców. Pomimo ograniczeń związanych z jakością danych i możliwością oszacowania czasu realizacji inwestycji, metoda ta może stanowić cenne narzędzie dla lokalnych władz i planistów, umożliwiając uzupełnienie prognoz demograficznych o aspekt przestrzenny i inwestycyjny oraz na lepsze dostosowanie planów rozwoju infrastruktury społecznej i technicznej do przyszłego zapotrzebowania mieszkańców.
Development of urban green areas and awareness of their value among citizens and local authorities is rapidly growing. This trend is not only the result of the coronavirus pandemic, but also reflects a belief in the role of green areas in reducing the negative effects of climate change and supporting overall well-being. As a consequence, more and more local governments are promoting local policies focused on the development of urban green areas with the participation of citizens. Using data collected in Zielona Góra, Poland, this study explores the gender patterns and differences in use and preferences according to the development of urban green areas. The main goals of the study were (1) to evaluate the possible relationship between gender and preferred types of visited green areas and transport modes used to reach them and (2) to explore the differences in expectations regarding the spatial development of green areas among men and women. The result of the study shows that women more often than men visit green areas closer to their place of residence and more often indicate playgrounds and other forms of greenery of an aesthetic function as proposed green areas. Furthermore, there are also differences regarding the means of transport used and preferable distance to green areas. Women visibly prefer green areas within the city centre, mostly use individual means of transport, and are more likely to travel on foot than men. Men prefer more distant green areas and mostly travel longer distances.
Geoweb methods offer an alternative to commonly used public participation methods in spatial planning. This paper discusses two such geoweb methods – geo-questionnaire and geo-discussion in the context of their initial applications within the spatial planning processes in Poland. The paper presents legal and organizational framework for the implementation of methods, provides their development details, and assesses insights gained from their deployment in the context of spatial planning in Poland. The analysed case studies encompass different spatial scales ranging from major cities in Poland (Poznań and Łódź) to suburban municipalities (Rokietnica and Swarzędz in Poznań Agglomeration). The studies have been substantiated by interviews with urban planners and local authorities on the use and value of Geoweb methods in public consultations.
Geoweb methods offer an alternative to commonly used public participation methods in spatial planning. This paper discusses two such geoweb methods – geo-questionnaire and geo-discussion in the context of their initial applications within the spatial planning processes in Poland. The paper presents legal and organizational framework for the implementation of methods, provides their development details, and assesses insights gained from their deployment in the context of spatial planning in Poland. The analysed case studies encompass different spatial scales ranging from major cities in Poland (Poznań and Łódź) to suburban municipalities (Rokietnica and Swarzędz in Poznań Agglomeration). The studies have been substantiated by interviews with urban planners and local authorities on the use and value of Geoweb methods in public consultations.
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