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Zmiany klimatyczne oraz instytucjonalne a przewidywane wyniki ekonomiczne gospodarstw

100%
Sulewski P., Czekaj S.
Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej
|
2015
|
issue 1(342)
74-100
EN
Climate change, liberalization of international trade in agricultural products and changes in the system of farms’ support result in the increasing importance of the risk problem in European and Polish agriculture. It can be expected that a change in market and production conditions will result in significant increase in income volatility. The scale of change will depend on the financial support directed to agricultural sector and farmers’ reactions. The study reveals that in the case of Poland the most likely scenario results in rather moderate deterioration in farms’ financial results measured under risk. Extreme deterioration can be observed in the liberal scenario under assumption of financial support elimination.
2
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Wpływ zazielenienia Wspolnej Polityki Rolnej na wyniki ekonomiczne gospodarstw roslinnych

81%
Czekaj S., Majewski E., Wąs A.
Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej
|
2012
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issue 2(321)
67-80
EN
The paper presents assessment of impacts of introducing the greening scenario of the Common Agricultural Policy, proposed by the European Commission as an alternative for the reformed CAP after 2013. A number of variants of the greening was analyzed. Assessments were made for selected types of crop farms from the FADN sample with the use of the LP optimization farm model. Types of farms were defined according to the level of diversifi¬cation of crop production, that was calculated with the index of concentration of cropping structure CCR. Greening of the CAP leads to changes in the cropping structure. Required diversification of cropping structure and obligatory 7% of ecological focus area results with a decrease of farm incomes comparing to baseline scenario, that assumes continuation of the current CAP.
3
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„Nowe zazielenienie” WPR i jego wpływ na wyniki ekonomiczne polskich gospodarstw rolnych

81%
Czekaj S., Majewski E., Wąs A.
Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej
|
2014
|
issue 1(338)
39-56
EN
After a long debate between political bodies of the EU, the final decision about the shape of the CAP in the next programming period has been made. The initial proposal of the European Commission was very ambitious yet, after the announcement of its final version, there is a common belief that green requirements have been watered down. This paper presents the results of impact analysis based on the most recent proposition of CAP reform with a special focus on “greening” of direct payments. It evaluates changes in economic results of Polish farms in the perspective of the year 2019. For the analyses, the authors proposed an original farm typology using data taken from 10890 farms from FADN sample in 2011. Farm optimization model with PMP technique was used to estimate potential effects of the reform for 218 types of Polish farms. Farm model results have been up-scaled to the country level. Results show that majority of Polish farms are already complying with the new requirements. Adjustment of remaining farms to the new requirements leads to negligible impact on income generated by Polish farm sector.
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