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OPŁACALNOŚĆ PRODUKCJI ŻYWCA WIEPRZOWEGO W POLSCE

100%
Skarżyńska A.
Zagadnienia Doradztwa Rolniczego
|
2018
|
issue 3(93)
49-64
EN
The main objective of the study was to evaluate the economic results of production of pigs for fattening and identify the main determinants its profitability. The results of the study were analyzed in three groups of farms divided by quartiles of gross margin, i.e. in the weakest, middle and in the best. The results were analyzed by three-year average. The differences in the economic results of pigs for fattening were influenced more by the incurred costs than the sales price. Income from pig production was obtained only on the best farms (PLN 20/100 kg). On medium and weakest farms, a loss was recorded, and production costs were partly covered, in 91.9 and 76.1%, respectively.
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ZASTOSOWANIE MODELI TRENDU DO PROJEKCJI OPŁACALNOŚCI PRODUKCJI MLEKA W PERSPEKTYWIE ŚREDNIOTERMINOWEJ

63%
Skarżyńska A., Jabłoński K.
Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych
|
2016
|
vol. 17
|
issue 1
84-97
PL
Celem badań jest określenie w perspektywie 2020 r. kierunku zmiany opłacalności produkcji mleka w Polsce w ujęciu regionalnym. Do sporządzenia projekcji wykorzystano klasyczne modele tendencji rozwojowej. Ze względu na zmienność ceny mleka w czasie (+/-8,7%) zbudowano warianty projekcji. Ocenia się, że w 2020 r. dynamika wzrostu przychodów będzie silniejsza niż kosztów w efekcie opłacalność mleka będzie wyższa (od 11,2 do 17,2 p.p.) niż w 2015 r. ale niższa w porównaniu do 2014 r. (od 1,6 do 6,8 p.p.). Tylko w korzystnym wariancie projekcji (wzrost ceny mleka o 8,7%) opłacalność będzie wyższa niż w 2014 r.
EN
The aim of the study is to determine the change in the profitability of milk production in Poland until 2020 year in regional breakdown. To prepare the projections classical models of development trend have been used. Due to the volatility of milk prices over time (+/-8.7%) different variants of the projection were developed. The results show that in 2020 compared to 2015 the growth of revenues will be stronger than the growth of costs and as a result the profitability of milk production will be higher (from 11.2 to 17.2 percentage points). However, estimation also shows that profitability of milk production in 2020 will be lower than in 2014 (from 1.6 to 6.8 pp). Only in the favorable projection variant (increase of milk price by 8.7%), profitability will be higher than in 2014.
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