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EN
In this paper is considered the issue of the portfolio of contracts for differences (CFD). As far as the standards of contracts traded on the stock exchanges are precisely defined and treated in such a manner that the investor in case of adverse developments for him on the market have the ability to complete the required margin, so transactions on the over the counter (OTC) market do not give an investor such the comfort and can result in an immediate closing open positions with significant losses for the investor. Open CFD positions offered in the OTC market are continuously monitored in terms of fulfilment of the required security deposit (margin) and the investor is responsible for maintaining the necessary assets to fully cover the market risk. Creating a CFD portfolio investor faces a dilemma, what proportion of the funds allocated to the opening position, and which of them leave as a hedge against market risks. The Problem is so complex that many of the CFD is exposed to currency risk. Appropriate funds intended to cover unrealised losses has to secure against a ineffective margin call to supplement the security deposit and unfavourable for the investor closing his position. The work discusses the various measures of market risk exposure used by reputable financial institutions offering contracts on exchange differences on the over the counter market. In addition, proposed several measures to support the portfolio structure of the CFD, taking into account market risk.
EN
The accumulation of pension capital in capital funds is the subject of much discussion, especially in terms of their profitability and risk associated with turbulence in financial markets. The article presents the issues of shaping the capital value of the pension by profitability and risk as a measure of investment activities of pension funds and pension capital forecasting and its value at risk (VaR) based on historical data. The article used data relating to profitability and volatility of open-end pension fund units in Poland for the period from 31.12. 2003 to 31.03.2014.
PL
Celem pracy jest przeprowadzenie analizy porównawczej ryzyka zmiany ceny oraz wolumenu obrotu na rynku energii elektrycznej oraz rynku gazu prowadzonych przez Towarową Giełdę Energii. W pracy została przeprowadzona analiza rozkładów stóp zwrotu z omawianych rynków, na podstawie której zaproponowano miary estymacji ryzyka. Na bazie oszacowanego ryzyka zostanie przeprowadzona analiza porównawcza poziomu ryzyka na poszczególnych rynkach.
EN
The aim of this paper is to carry out a comparative risk analysis of price and volume changes between electric energy contract prices and natural gas contracts quoted on Polish Power Exchange. On both markets prices are quoted continuously, and in fixings. In this paper the distribution of rates of return from both markets is analyzed. Based on this analysis, measures for estimating risk of price changes are proposed.
PL
W artykule wykazano wpływ wartości ropy Brent na ceny oleju napędowego w okresie obejmującym pierwsze dziewięć miesięcy 2014 roku. Omówione w kolejnej części opracowania standardowe i azjatyckie opcje kupna o europejskim stylu wykonania posłużyły do budowy strategii zabezpieczających przed niekorzystnymi ruchami cen paliw silnikowych. W celu dostarczenia informacji o skuteczności tych strategii, porównano koszty, jakie musiałby zapłacić nabywca poszczególnych rodzajów opcji. Zestawienie wartości premii opcyjnych o różnych terminach wygaśnięcia i zmieniającej się cenie wykonania opcji pozwoliło określić wpływ tych parametrów na ceny omawianych instrumentów pochodnych.
XX
The article shows the impact of the Brent Crude Oil for diesel prices during the period covering the first 9 months in 2014. The standard and Asian call options with European-style, described in the next part of this paper, were used for building strategy to hedge against negative movements in the price of motor fuel. To provide information about the effectiveness of these strategies, the authors compared the costs that buyer of different types of options would have to pay. Values of premium options, with different expiry dates and the changing price of the options, allowed to determine the effect of these parameters on the prices of these derivatives.
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