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1

DO FISCAL MULTIPLIERS VARY WITH DIFFERENT CHARACTER OF MONETARY-FISCAL INTERACTIONS?

100%
Benčík M.
Ekonomický časopis (Journal of Economics)
|
2018
|
vol. 66
|
issue 8
753 – 770
EN
We investigate the fiscal multiplier in normal times and in the presence of a binding zero lower bound on interest rates with SVARs. We construct shocks to interest rates that compensate their reactions to fiscal expansion and hold them constant we apply the shocks to the United States, the Euro area and Slovakia. We find that for the former case, the multiplier decreases in the ZLB, but it increases sharply in the ZLB for the latter two cases. The sign of its change is determined by the coordination of fiscal and monetary policy i.e. whether the interest rates drop or rise in response to fiscal expansion.
2

FISCAL MULTIPLIERS AND THE ZERO LOWER BOUND

100%
Hloušek M.
Ekonomický časopis (Journal of Economics)
|
2017
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vol. 65
|
issue 4
305 – 319
EN
This paper studies the implications of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates for the size of fiscal multipliers. The analysis is carried out in an extended version of the ECB’s New Area-Wide Model, which contains various fiscal instruments. The results show that the size of fiscal multipliers depends heavily on the length of the period during which the interest rate is binding. Government consumption is the most efficient instrument of fiscal policy; the value of its multiplier is well above one and can even be double for a long time at the ZLB. The multiplier for consumption taxes is also influenced substantially by the interest rate constraint, but its value remains below one. The multipliers for social security contributions and labour income taxes are not influenced much. The behaviour of the government investment multiplier is quite tricky: an amplifying effect on output is present only when the economy stays at the zero lower bound for just a few years; when there is a longer time at the ZLB, this multiplier can even be negative.
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