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2021
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vol. 22
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issue 2
41-65
EN
The problem of disability is perceived as one of the most serious social issues faced by the contemporary society. The number of people with disability is consistently rising for a variety of reasons, including the aging of the population. Data on disability are collected through numerous statistical surveys, among which censuses are the most wide-scale ones. In the period between the 2002 and 2011 censuses (the last two censuses conducted in Poland), a 14% decrease in the number of people with disabilities was observed. However, it should be emphasised that significant modifications were introduced to the methodology of the last census. Population census 2011 was the first census in Poland combing administrative data sources and the survey sampling method. The main objective of the study is to assess the quality of estimates relating to the number of disabled persons, obtained on the basis of the 2011 census data. It is a comparative study aimed at identifying the similarities and discrepancies between the estimates, and determining the size and source of these discrepancies. The analysis takes into account such aspects as the measurement methods, the definitions and criteria of disability, the voluntary nature of the question, and the quality of the information on disability obtained from various sources.
EN
This study focuses on the demographic processes in Beijing Municipality at the turn of the 21st century and attempts to evaluate a role of China's social policies upon contemporary population changes. Two main determinants influencing present demographic characteristics were taken into consideration: the immigration of temporary workers and one-child policy. Socio-economic processes in Beijing are accompanied by the rapid changes of urban physiognomy as a result of immense city development (new industrial and residential areas) and new investments prepared for the 2008 Olympics. A spatial typology of socio-demographic changes between 1997 and 2007 was created in order to distinguish areas of different demographic and social development. Concluding remarks of this study highlight main characteristics and determinants of Beijing Municipality demographic features and a pace of their changes. Evidences typically found in Beijing clearly show a crucial role of market economy elements which have a great effect upon socio-spatial urban expansion.
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The depopulation of the Bulgarian villages

75%
EN
The depopulation process in Bulgaria, especially in rural areas, is intensifying due to deepening unfavourable trends in the dynamics of demographic processes. Depopulation is a typical process in the fourth phase of demographic transition in rural areas of Bulgaria. The death rates exceed birth rates in the rural areas in the mid-1970s. The size of rural population and the number of villages in the country has been decreasing in the last decades. A large part of the villages were affected by depopulation processes during the period 1985-2007. A high depopulation level is observed in border and mountainous regions. The depopulation generates an array of different negative trends in the spatial aspect - in socio-economic development, technical and social infrastructure, as well as the erasure of many small villages. The regional development plans need to embed measures for infrastructural development in order to attract and retain residents, utilise natural and cultural-historical heritage, and to stimulate economic activities and the development of various types of tourism, etc.
EN
The article presents the demographic situation of rural areas in Lubuska Land in 2009 against the demographic processes taking place there in the years 1995–2009. The issues addressed includechanges in the rural population figures, vital statistics and migration movement, the sex/age structure of the population, and their spatial distributions. Factors responsible for the differences are identified. Attention is also paid to how those processes vary between the countryside and town.
PL
Wartykule przedstawiono sytuację demograficzną obszarów wiejskich w województwie lubuskim w 2009 r. Ukazano ją na tle procesów demograficznych zachodzących w latach 1995–2009. Omówiono zmiany liczby ludności wiejskiej, ruch naturalny i migracyjny, strukturę ludności według płci i wieku oraz ich rozkłady przestrzenne.Wskazano na różnicujące je czynniki. Zwrócono także uwagę na odmienność badanych procesów na wsi i w mieście.
EN
The present article deals with the most important conditions and challenges of social policy in Poland.
EN
The family, as the smallest social group, is one of the most sensitive reflections of the changes taking place in the structures of modern societies. At the same time, it is their most durable element and their most important value for ensuring biological continuity of generations, their socialization and development. Family policy, as an element of social policy, can support the individual decisions, choices and values that contribute to the formation and development of families. The purpose of this article is to draw attention to the equality model of family policy, its relevance and effectiveness in the context of the objectives it posed, namely increasing women's fertility rate in the era of socio-economic changes.
PL
Peryferyjny charakter to jedna z najważniejszych cech Polski Wschodniej, a sam region często identyfikuje się poprzez rozmaite negatywne zjawiska na płaszczyźnie społeczno--ekonomicznej. Duży wpływ na tę sytuację mają procesy ludnościowe, w tym problem wyludniania się, który dotyczy znacznej części obszarów wiejskich makroregionu. Celem niniejszej pracy jest analiza wpływu zmian demograficznych zachodzących na wiejskich obszarach przygranicznych Polski Wschodniej w latach 2002–2015 na wybrane obszary życia społeczno-ekonomicznego, a także próba określenia skali zmian i ich konsekwencji w ujęciu przestrzennym w sferze edukacji, przedsiębiorczości, budownictwa i mieszkalnictwa oraz finansów publicznych.
EN
One of the most important features of Eastern Poland is its peripheral character. This region is often associated with various negative socio-economic phenomena. Population processes, including the problem of depopulation, affect a large part of rural areas of the macroregion. The main aim of this paper is to analyze the impact of the demographic changes occurring in rural areas of Eastern Poland in 2002–2015 on selected areas of socio-economic life, as well as to attempt to determine the scale of the changes and their spatial consequences in the field of education, entrepreneurship, construction, housing, and public finances.
EN
The demographic potential of Poland depends on two main processes: the ageing process of the Polish society and decline in fertility. Taking this into account, the demographic situation of contemporary Poland is described as dramatic. Therefore, it is necessary to create appropriate family policy which will prevent the negative consequences of these processes. The main aim of this article is to show the statistical data connected with these processes. The analysis will be focused only on these two issues (others are only mentioned) and it will be the basis for discussion about family policy and its actions. The article presents selected activities of Polish family policy which may reverse the negative demographic trends.
9
51%
EN
This text draws current demographic processes and presents how they can influence education at present and in the future. This is divided into four main parts. The first deals with the analysis of total fertility rate and natural increase. Problems associated with immigration are briefly presented in the second part. Part three and four reflects on some results of demographic trends and dominant models of schooling.
PL
W artykule przedstawiono skróconą do celów wydawniczych prognozę demograficzną, którą opracowano wiosną 2016 r. dla Urzędu Gminy Konstancin-Jeziorna, w związku z wejściem w życie nowelizacji Ustawy o planowaniu i zagospodarowaniu przestrzennym [2003, nowelizacja z 2016 r.]. Nowelizacja polegała na wprowadzeniu zapisów nakładających na gminy obowiązek sporządzania bilansów terenu w planach miejscowych, uwzględniających rzeczywisty popyt na budownictwo mieszkaniowe. W tym celu wykonano dwie projekcje prognostyczne, minimalną i maksymalną, uwzględniające różne scenariusze urodzeń i zgonów oraz migracji, zależne od spodziewanych trendów w aglomeracji warszawskiej. Wariant minimalny zakładał kontynuację niekorzystnych procesów demograficznych, tj. zwłaszcza spodziewanego spadku liczby urodzeń i osłabienia napływu migracyjnego, a wariant maksymalny – pobudzenie demograficzne w wyniku polityki prorodzinnej oraz utrzymanie się napływu migracyjnego na obecnym poziomie. W analizie uwzględniono też ludność niezameldowaną. W zależności od założeń przewiduje się, że liczba mieszkańców w gminie w 2050 r. wyniesie 23,9–27,3 tys., w stosunku do 25,8 tys. w 2015 r.. Nastąpi też znaczny wzrost udziału osób starszych w strukturze wieku, zwłaszcza w mieście Konstancin-Jeziorna. Wymagać to będzie większej dbałości o politykę przestrzenną i planowanie infrastruktury, zwłaszcza pod kątem efektywności ekonomicznej. W związku z prognozowanymi trendami demograficznymi w gminie występuje znaczne przeszacowanie terenów pod zabudowę mieszkaniową. Nadpodaż gruntów budowlanych będzie prowadzić do rozpraszania osadnictwa oraz wyższych kosztów budowy i obsługi infrastruktury. Założenia i metodyka prognozy mogą służyć za wzór dla innych tego typu opracowań w gminach.
EN
The article presents a demographic forecast, shortened for publishing purposes, which was developed in the spring of 2016 for the Municipality of Konstancin-Jeziorna (part of the Warsaw Metropolitan Area) due to the entry into force of the amendment to the Spatial Planning and Development Act (2003, revision of 2016). The amendment introduced provisions obliging municipalities to prepare land balances in local spatial development plans, taking into account the real demand for housing. For this purpose, two prognostic projections were performed, a minimum and maximum one, taking into account various birth and death scenarios as well as migration, depending on the expected trends in the Warsaw agglomeration. The minimum option assumed the continuation of unfavorable demographic processes, i.e. in particular the expected decline in the number of births and the weakening of the migration inflow, while the maximum option assumed effective demographic stimulation as a result of pro-family policy and maintaining the migration inflow at the current level. The analysis also included the population not officially registered as inhabitants of the area. Depending on which assumptions were adopted, the number of municipality inhabitants in 2050 is expected to amount to 23,900-27,300 residents, compared to 25,800 in 2015. There will also be a significant increase in the share of older people in the age structure, especially in the urban area of the Konstancin-Jeziorna municipality. This will require greater care for spatial policy and infrastructure planning, especially in terms of economic efficiency. The forecast demographic trends indicate that there is a significant overestimation of areas designated for housing development in the municipality. Oversupply of development land will lead to dispersion of settlements and growth of infrastructure costs. The assumptions and methodology of the forecast may serve as a model for similar studies in other Polish municipalities.
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