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Wars in the later 21st century: Forecast developments in the methods of warfare

100%

Górnikiewicz M.

Security and Defence Quarterly

2019

vol. 27

issue 5

21-31

Objectives This paper attempts to forecast the future of warfare methods in the forthcoming decades of the 21st century. The predictions reflect on the current trends observed in the development of military and civil (dual-use) technologies and changes in thought constructs developed for hostilities. Methods Empirical and theoretical research methods were utilised in the study. The research data, obtained from the review of source materials, were subsequently subjected to examination through analysis, synthesis and comparison. Results The methods of warfare at the turn of the 21st century are likely to reflect the technological evolution of the modern age. Considering the present-day trends, there is a good probability that our technology-driven lives will transform people into hybrids of biological organisms merged with the technological environment, integrated with the body. Therefore, hostile action against human soldiers could be taken on three major levels: the biological organism, the mass communication technology integrated into the body, and the mental level – both in the conscious and the subconscious sphere. The study into how the soldier’s mental sphere can be influenced to anticipate and shape behaviours may contribute to further research on the third level impact on enemy soldiers. Conclusions The conclusions formulated in this analysis may carry significant implications for the works on an innovative methodology of the future warfare, accounting for the technological progress in the next decades of the 21st century, and a methodology for countering future military threats.

Wojna i pokój w społecznościach pierwotnych. Etnologiczne spojrzenie na ochronę granic

58%

Rosiński F. M.

Roczniki Wydziału Nauk Prawnych i Ekonomicznych KUL

2012-2013

vol. 8-9

issue 1: Prawo

39-64

Wojna w społecznościach pierwotnych ma często inne znaczenie społeczne, przyczyny i przebieg działań zbrojnych aniżeli w społeczeństwach o wyższym rozwoju kulturowym. Również delimitacja granic krajowych czy plemiennych jest inaczej rozumiana i nie zawsze broniona, zwłaszcza jeśli istnieją sąsiednie obszary niczyje, ucieczkowe. Bardzo często same rozprawy zbrojne przeprowadzane są obrzędowo; unika się zadawania i ponoszenia większych strat śmiertelnych. Stąd wojna stanowi często tylko demonstrację siły zbrojnej.

War in primitive societies often has different social significance, causes and course of military actions than in societies with a higher cultural development. Also, delimitation of national or tribal borders is understood differently and not always defended, especially if there are no neighbouring areas with the possibility to escape. Very often the armed clashes are carried out ritually, without unnecessary fatal losses. Thus, war is often just a demonstration of military force.

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1 Roczniki Wydziału Nauk Prawnych i Ekonomicznych KUL

1 Security and Defence Quarterly

1 Górnikiewicz M.

1 Rosiński F. M.

1 2019

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Wars in the later 21st century: Forecast developments in the methods of warfare

Wojna i pokój w społecznościach pierwotnych. Etnologiczne spojrzenie na ochronę granic