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EN
The purpose of the article is to analyse the demographic potential of the countries that have applied for the European Union membership against the background of the EU member states. The study involves eight candidate states: Croatia, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, and Turkey, i.e. the countries that have been approved by the European Commission as official candidates for the EU membership, as well as Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, i.e. the potential candidates. Albania and Serbia applied officially for the EU membership in 2009. Favourable population age structure and relatively high fertility rate that occur in these countries determine a significant demographic potential they can bring to the EU after their accession. Decrease in infant mortality rate and extension of life expectancy illustrate positive changes that have been taking place in these countries for the last several years.
EN
The mutual dependence of human resources and the development of the state has been one of the most important geopolitical questions discussed from the times of Ancient Greece. The article analyses the growth of the population and human resources of Lithuania, their change and influence on the state's development, the possible consequences of the decline of the population on international policies and the state's geopolitical situation. Reflecting the changes in the number of inhabitants and their structure five possible scenarios of the state's development in the future are constructed: 1) a small, but economically strong national state; 2) more pensioners than grandchildren; 3) a multinational and multicultural state; 4) the end of the national state (?); 5) a strong economic and cultural state.
EN
The purpose of the paper is to present already observed as well as expected changes in the condition and age structure of the population of Śląskie voivodeship. The analysis concerns the years between 1990 and 2050. The paper presents changes in population in the years from 1990 to 2013 and the projection of the population situation in 2050. Special attention is focussed on the process of changes in population functional age groups, also the dynamics and the level of ageing advancement of population in total as well as of particular age groups which are significant from the point of view of labour market and future births are presented.
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EN
The article presents changes in the structure of population by age in Śląskie voivodship between 1990 and 2035. The similarity of structures has been studied with the use of taxonomic algorithm and the time distributions of senility and load indices of the population in general while taking sex and place of residence into consideration have been presented. The process of population ageing is more and more intensive. Less and less numerous age groups that reach the productive age and more and more numerous age groups that enter the retirement age show that Śląskie voivodship, similarly to the whole area of Poland and other European countries, will have to face the problem of population ageing. This challenge is particularly hard to confront because of the low level of professional activity of the people over 50 years of age.
PL
Artykuł ma na celu odtworzenie stanu liczbowego mieszkańców powiatu gubińskiego w pierwszych powojennych latach. Zebrane dane statystyczne obejmują niewykorzystany dotąd szerzej materiał źródłowy w postaci sprawozdań i wykazów starostwa powiatowego oraz PUR. Omówiono wysiedlanie Niemców i napływ ludności polskiej, przedstawiono liczbę ludności powiatu z podziałem na miasto i wieś oraz wskazano dynamikę zmian w latach 1945–1949, a także strukturę ludności pod względem płci, wieku, narodowości i kierunku napływu (repatrianci ze wschodu i zachodu oraz przesiedleńcy z Polski centralnej).
EN
The article aims to reconstruct the number of inhabitants in the Gubin district in the early post-war years. The statistical data available include previously unused source material in the form of reports and lists of the district administrator and the State Repatriation Office (PUR). The displacement of Germans and the influx of Poles will be discussed, the district’s population levels will be given with a division into town and village, and the speed of change in 1945–1949 will be indicated, as well as the population structure in terms of sex, age, nationality and direction of influx (repatriates from the East and West and displaced people from central Poland).
PL
Zjawiska demograficzne mają silny wpływ na rozwój społeczno-gospodarczy województwa dolnośląskiego. Szczególne znaczenie mają liczba i struktura ludności oraz poziom przyrostu rzeczywistego. Celem artykułu było przedstawienie zmian liczby ludności wpływających na poziom bezpieczeństwa demograficznego badanej jednostki na tle zmian zachodzących w kraju w latach 2010–2018. W celu uchwycenia podobieństw i różnic w strukturach przestrzennych posłużono się typologią demograficzną Webba oraz zastosowano trójkąta Osanna. Zastosowane metody pozwoliły na określenie typu demograficznego województwa dolnośląskiego oraz przyczyn pogłębienia się problemów demograficznych tego regionu, co będzie wpływało negatywnie na podaż pracy i możliwości dalszego rozwoju województwa.
EN
Demographic phenomena have a major impact on the socio-economic development of Dolnośląskie Voivodeship. The number and structure of the population and the level of the actual increase are of special importance. The objective of this article was to show population changes affecting the level of demographic safety in a given unit against the changes taking place in Poland in the years 2010–2018. The demographic typology by Webb and Osanna triangle was used to capture the similarities and differences in the spatial structure. The methods used allowed to determine the demographic type of Dolnośląskie Voivodship and the reasons for the deepening demographic problems of the region, which will have a negative impact on the labor supply and opportunities for further development of the voivodship.
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