FORECASTING TURNING POINTS WITH COMPOSITE LEADING INDICATORS -THE CASE OF POLAND

• Authors: Zalewski Krzysztof
• Languages of publication: EN

Abstracts

EN

This paper concerns the problem of short-term forecasting of economic activity. With the use of Composite Leading Indicators the business cycles of Polish economy are forecasted for 1992-2007 and confronted with real data. Results of Composite Leading Indicator analysis conducted for the end of 2007 suggest possible downturn phase at the beginning of 2008.

Keywords

EN

COMPOSITE LEADING INDICATOR; ECONOMIC FORECASTING

Discipline

• ECONOMICS: ECONOMICS

• Publisher: Wydział Nauk Ekonomicznych Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego
• Journal: Ekonomia. Rynek, Gospodarka, Społeczeństwo
• Year: 2009
• Issue: 24
• Pages: 61-93
• Document type: ARTICLE

Contributors

author

Zalewski Krzysztof

• Krzysztof Zalewski, Uniwersytet Warszawski, Wydzial Nauk Ekonomicznych, ul. Dluga 44/50, 00-241 Warszawa, Poland

Identifiers

CEJSH db identifier

10PLAAAA084824