Full-text resources of CEJSH and other databases are now available in the new Library of Science.
Visit https://bibliotekanauki.pl

PL EN


2020 | 42 | 99-117

Article title

Stock market development and investment growth in Nigeria

Content

Title variants

Languages of publication

EN

Abstracts

EN
Aim/purpose – The poor investment climate is one of the reasons advanced for the slow pace of growth in Nigeria; evidenced by the absence or inadequate amount of investible funds in the productive sectors. While the money market in Nigeria provides very limited investment options, the underdevelopment and underutilisation of the Nigerian Stock Market constitute a drawback to the investment climate. However, any economy desiring sustainable development requires a long-term source of fund. Therefore, this study ascertains the perfor-mance of the stock market and investment growth nexus in Nigeria.Design/methodology/approach – The study is based on the neoclassical growth theory with a slight modification in the wake of Levine’s specification (2003), an augmented investment growth relationship was specified. This study utilises the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) in establishing the co-integration relation between stock market development and investment growth. Gross capital formation was used as a proxy for investment growth while the stock market indicators are market capitalisation ratio, total value traded ratio and turnover ratio. The study utilises data covering 1981 to 2018, sourced from the Nigerian Stock Exchange annual reports and diverse publication of the Nigerian Bureau of Statistics.Findings – The market capitalisation ratio had a negative impact on gross capital for-mation both in the short run and the long run, but its significance is only evident in the short run. The turnover ratio had a negative and significant impact on investment growth. The total value traded ratio exerted a positive and significant impact on gross capital formation both in the short run and the long run. The coefficient of the error cor-rection term was negative and statistically significant. Research implications/limitations – The total value traded ratio enhanced investment growth in Nigeria. Both market capitalisation and turnover ratio dampen investment growth. The Stock Exchange is not efficient and does not possess the amount of liquidity required to finance long term investment need in Nigeria. Emphasis on measures geared towards increasing efficiency and liquidity should be intensified by the government. Mean-while, the sectorial analysis of the impact of stock exchange movements in Nigeria and the use of other estimation techniques may create room for more robust relationships.Originality/value/contribution – The study directly investigates the capability of the Nigerian stock market in driving investment, both in the short and long run.

Year

Volume

42

Pages

99-117

Physical description

Contributors

  • Economics and Development Studies, Humanities, Management and Social Sciences Federal University, Kashere, Nigeria
  • CEPMLP University of Dundee, Scotland, UK

References

  • Abbas, A. O., Pei, Y. X., & Rui, Z. (2016). Impact of stock market on economic growth evidence: Dar-es Salaam stock exchange – Tanzania. Journal of Finance and Accounting, 4(6), 321-327. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jfa.20160406.12
  • Adenuga, A. O. (2010, March). Stock market development indicators and economic growth in Nigeria (1990-2009): Empirical investigations. Economic and Financial Review, 48(1), 33-70.
  • Adewuyi, I. D., & Olowookere, J. K. (2011). The contributions of capital market to economic development in Nigeria. International Journal of Economic Development Research and Investment, 2(1), 36-46.
  • Adjasi, C. K., & Yartey, C. A. (2007). Stock market development in Sub-Saharan Africa: Critical issues and challenges (No. 7-209). Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.
  • Afees, A. S., & Kazeem, B. A. (2010). The stock market and economic growth in Nigeria: An empirical investigation. Journal of Economics Theory, 4(2), 65-70. https://doi.org/10.3923/jeth.2010.65.70
  • Afolabi, B., Olanike, A. B., Olusegun, A. O., & Ibimilua, S. T. (2017). Interconnection between capital market indices and economic growth: Nigeria’s perspective (1989-2015). Advances in Social Sciences Research Journal, 4(18), 160-173. https://doi.org/10.14738/assrj.418.2429
  • Ake, B., & Ognaligui, R. (2010). Financial stock market and economic growth in developing countries: The case of Douala Stock Exchange in Cameroon. International Journal of Business and Management, 5(5), 82-88. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v5n5p82
  • Ariwa, F. O., Ani, O. I., Onyele, K. O., & Ekeleme, I. J. (2017). Impact of stock market liquidity and efficiency on performance of the manufacturing sector in Nigeria. International Journal of Economics and Financial Management, 2(1), 71-82.
  • Asante, S., Agyapong, D., & Adam, A. M. (2011). Bank competition, stock market and economic growth in Ghana. International Journal of Business Administration, 2(4), 33-41. https://doi.org/10.5430/ijba.v2n4p33
  • Baral, K. B. (2019). Effects of stock market development on economic growth in Nepal. Janapriya Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 8, 87-96. https://doi.org/10.3126/jjis.v8i0.27302
  • Boubakari, A., & Jin, D. (2010). The role of stock market development in economic growth: evidence from some Euronext countries. International Journal of Financial Research, 1(1), 14-20. https://doi.org/10.5430/ijfr.v1n1p14
  • Brown, E., & Nyeche, E. (2016). The imperative of stock market on economic growth in Nigeria: “The Endogenous Growth Model”. Business and Economic Journal, 7(1), 1-5. https://doi.org/10.4172/2151-6219.1000200
  • Central Bank of Nigeria. (2018). Annual report and statement of accounts. Abuja: Author. Retrieved March 10, 2020 from https://www.cbn.gov.ng/documents/cbnannualreports.asp
  • Chen, P.-F., Lee, Ch. Ch., & Wong, S. Y. (2006, October). Is rate of stock returns a leading indicator of output growth? In the case of four East Asian countries. In 9th Joint International Conference on Information Sciences (JCIS-06). Amsterdam: Atlantis Press.
  • Chete, L. N., Adeoti, J. O., Adeyinka, F. M., & Ogundele, O. (2014). Industrial development and growth in Nigeria: Lessons and challenges (Working Paper, No. 2014/019). Helsinki: UNU-WIDER.
  • Chipaumire, G., & Ngirande, H. (2014). How stock market liquidity impact economic growth in South Africa. Journal of Economics, 5(2), 185-192. https://doi.org/10.1080/09765239.2014.11884995
  • Gani, I. M., & Ibrahim, S. S. (2015). Capital market development and economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria. International Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities Research, 3(5), 22-32.
  • Hendry, D. F. (1995). Dynamic econometrics. Oxford: Oxford University Press on Demand.
  • Hossain, M. S., & Kamal, K. M. (2010). Does stock market development cause economic growth? A time series analysis for Bangladesh economy. In L. Tsipouri, N. Tsounis, & A. Vlachvei (Eds.), International conference on applied economics 2010 (pp. 289-297). Athens: TEI of Western Macedonia Press.
  • Ifeakachukwu, N. P., & Ditimi, A. (2014). Capital inflows and exchange rate in Nigeria. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 5(7), 263-272. https://doi.org/10.5901/mjss.2014.v5n7p263
  • Ihendinihu, J. U., & Onwuchekwa, J. C. (2012). Stock market performance and economic growth in Nigeria (1984-2011). Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences, 3(6), 971-977.
  • Ikoku, A. E. (2010). Is the stock market a leading indicator of economic activity in Nigeria? CBN Journal of Applied Statistics, 1(1), 17-38.
  • Levine, R. (2003). Stock market liquidity and economic growth: Theory and evidence. In L. Paganetto & E. S. Phelps (Eds.), Finance, research, education and growth (pp. 3-24). London: Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Levine, R., & Zervos, S. (1999). Stock market development and long-run growth. Washington, DC: The World Bank.
  • Maghanga, M., & Quisenberry, W. (2015). The role of Uganda Securities Exchange in the economic growth of Uganda: An econometric analysis. International Journal of Econometrics and Financial Management, 3(3), 131-141. https://doi.org/10.12691/ijefm-3-3-4
  • Nazir, M. S., Nawaz, M. M., & Gilani, U. J. (2010). Relationship between economic growth and stock market development. African Journal of Business Management, 4(16), 3473-3479. https://doi.org/10.5897/AJBM.9000484
  • Nkoro, E., & Uko, A. K. (2016). Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration technique: Application and interpretation. Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, 5(4), 63-91.
  • Nneji, I. (2013). Efficiency of the Nigerian capital market; an empirical analysis. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 4(4), 69-77.
  • Nurudeen, A. (2009). Does stock market development raise economic growth? Evidence from Nigeria. The Review of Finance and Banking, 1(1), 15-26.
  • Nwachukwu, T. E., & Odigie, P. (2011), What drives private saving in Nigeria (Paper Presented at Workshop Organized by AERC). Nairobi: African Economic Research Consortium (AERC).
  • Nwaolisa, E. F., Kasie, E. G., & Egbunike, C. F. (2013). The impact of capital market on the growth of the Nigerian economy under democratic rule. Oman Chapter of Arabian Journal of Business and Management Review, 3(2), 53-62. https://doi.org/10.12816/0002371
  • Oladapo, F., & Ayowole, A. J. (2013). An empirical analysis of efficiency of the Nigerian capital market. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 4(17), 111-117.
  • Osamwonyi, I. O., & Kasimu, A. (2013). Stock market and economic growth in Ghana, Kenya and Nigeria. International Journal of Financial Research, 4(1), 83-98. https://doi.org/10.5430/ijfr.v4n2p83
  • Osho, A. E. (2014). The role of stock market on Nigeria’s economic development. International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, 4(4), 424-430.
  • Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (1999). An autoregressive distributed-lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis. Econometric Society Monographs, 31, 371-413.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616
  • Popoola, O. R., Ejemeyovwi, O. J., Alege, O. P., Adu, O., & Onabote, A. (2017). Stock market and economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of English Literature and Social Sciences, 2(6), 97-106. https://doi.org/10.24001/ijels.2.6.15
  • Qamruzzaman, M., & Jianguo, W. (2018). Financial innovation, stock market development, and economic growth: An application of ARDL model. International Journal of Financial Studies, 6(69), 1-30. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs6030069
  • Rasak, B., Ake, M., & Asamu, F. (2018). Nigeria’s industrial policies, sustainable development and the challenges of globalization. Abuja Journal of Sociological Studies, 5(1), 119-151.
  • Salawu, R. O. (2007). An empirical analysis of the capital structure of selected quoted companies in Nigeria. The International Journal of Applied Economics and Finance, 1(1), 16-28. https://doi.org/10.3923/ijaef.2007.16.28
  • Svilokos, T., Vojinić, P., & Šuman Tolić, M. (2019). The role of the financial sector in the process of industrialisation in Central and Eastern European countries. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 32(1), 384-402. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677x.2018.1523739
  • The Nigerian Stock Exchange. (2018). Annual report. Lagos: Stock Exchange House. Retrieved March 10, 2020 from http://www.nse.com.ng/aboutussite/Annual%20Reports/The%20Nigerian%20Stock%20Exchange%202018%20Annual%20Report.pdf
  • Thiele, R., Köster, M., Okoli, I., & Rühmann, F. (2018). African economic development: What role can the G20 Compact play? (Discussion Paper, No. 3). Bonn: German Development Institute.
  • Tokunbo, S. O., & Lloyd, A. A. (2003). Stock market development and long-run growth in Nigeria. Journal of African Business, 4(3), 103-129. https://doi.org/10.1300/J156v04n03_06
  • UNDP. (2013). Raising resources to finance the post-2015 development agenda: Synthesis of the Johannesburg Roundtable of Expert. Pretoria, South Africa: Author.

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

ISSN
1732-1948

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.cejsh-2a4d32d4-8189-4ef4-863d-c32ae6277013
JavaScript is turned off in your web browser. Turn it on to take full advantage of this site, then refresh the page.