Jakość prognoz przedsiębiorstw przemysłowych

• Authors: Dędys Monika

Title variants

EN

Ouality of Forecasts of Industrial Enterprises

• Languages of publication: PL

Abstracts

EN

In this chapter, an attempt to analyze ąuality of predictions of industrial enterprises is described. Data originates from monthly questionnaires conducted by the Institute of Economic Developments Warsaw School of Economics. Usually, two groups of questions are included in questionnaires of overall economic situation. First group concerns current values of various economic variables, second one - changes in these values in near futurę. Expectations of respondents create a certain expert system of predictions. The obvious question is: what is the quality of these predictions? In this chapter, attention has been focused on industrial output which plays a major part in building a comprehensiye coefficient of economic conditions of industry.

Keywords

PL

Koniunktura gospodarcza, Przedsiębiorstwo przemysłowe, Prognozowanie rozwoju przemysłu, Mierniki statystyczne

EN

Business trends, Industrial enterprises, Industry development forecasting, Statistical indicators

• Publisher: Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie
• Journal: Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
• Year: 1998
• Volume: 60
• Pages: 89-105

Contributors

author

Dędys Monika

References

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• [2] Pawłowski Z. “Prognozy ekonometryczne” , PWN, Warszawa 1973.
• [3] Theil H. “Economic Forecast and Policy”, North Holland, Amsterdam, 1961.
• [4] Theil H. ”Applied Economic Forecasting”, North Holland, Amsterdam, 1996.
• [5] Welfe A. "Ekonometria, metody i ich zastosowanie”, PWE, Warszawa 1995.