Economic assessment of the impact of climate change on the agriculture of Pakistan

• Authors: Mirza Ahmed Nomman , Michael Schmitz
• Languages of publication: EN

Abstracts

EN

This article studies how climate change affects the agricultural productivity in Pakistan`s four provinces Punjab, Sindh, Balochistan and the N.W.F.P., measured as weighted food crop yields per hectare, for the food crops wheat, rice and maize. By considering the RABI (Nov-Apr) growing season and including a measure for drought to capture the occurrence of extreme events, exacerbated through climate change, the proposed hypothesis is that changing climatic variables have reduced and are reducing the agricultural productivity and thus posing a threat to long term food security. To depict the effect of climate change, several control variables are introduced in a panel framework for intertemporal analysis. As a result, we should expect lower levels of productivity in the arid zones with greater climatic pressure and adverse effects on food security through lower agricultural yields.

Keywords

EN

Climate change; Pakistan; panel model; econometric analysis; adaptation

Discipline

• ECONOMICS: ECONOMICS

• Publisher: Prague Development Center, Czech Republic
• Journal: Business and Economic Horizons
• Year: 2011
• Volume: 4
• Issue: 1
• Pages: 1-12

Contributors

author

Mirza Ahmed Nomman

author

Michael Schmitz

• Business and Economic Horizons, redakce, Prague Development Center s.r.o., Bořivojova 1081 / 40, 130 00, Prague 3 - Žižkov, Czech Republic