Dochodotwórcze oddziaływanie eksportu na PKB Polski na tle UE-15 i Niemiec w latach 1991–2007

• Authors: Marian Guzek

Title variants

EN

Profit Generating Influence of Export on the GDP of Poland in Comparison with the EU–15 and Germany in 1991–2007

• Languages of publication: PL

Abstracts

EN

The article has been based on empiric examinations aimed at defining the influence of export on the GDP in Poland and Germany against a background of the European Union between 1991 and 2007. The phenomenon has been examined with the use of a ratio of the GDP to export (all data in current prices in euro) in subsequent years – the rate being treated as a kind of effect multiplier. It has been established that profit-generating influence of export in all the examined countries throughout the whole period is showing a decrease. It is assumed to be a result of the existence of grey market in the field of the GDP increases, which are unrecorded in the official statistics. It has been noticed, however, that a stronger decline of the rate occurred in the whole European Union in the years 2003 – 2007. In Poland and Germany it has a form of a trend line offset that indicates the overlapping of a new factor decreasing the profit-generating influence of export. The author proposes a hypothesis that in that period there was a stronger occurrence of a phenomenon of internalization, i.e. a multinational companies’ practice to unofficially transfer their profits abroad, mainly in the form of transfer prices that change some profits into costs and result in the GDP decrease.

Keywords

EN

export; empiric examination; GDP in Poland; effect multiplier model in open economy; internalization; transfer prices

• Publisher: Oficyna Wydawnicza Uczelni Łazarskiego
• Journal: Myśl Ekonomiczna i Polityczna
• Year: 2011
• Issue: 1-2(32-33)
• Pages: 57-69

Contributors

author

Marian Guzek

• Lazarski University in Warsaw