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2014 | 203 | 134-142

Article title

Modele Copula M-GARCH o rozkładach niezmienniczych na transformacje ortogonalne

Authors

Content

Title variants

EN
Copula M-GARCH Models with Coordinate Free Conditional Distributions

Languages of publication

PL

Abstracts

EN
We discuss generalisation of the conditional distribution in GARCH model and present empirical analysis indicating its empirical importance. The model is a generalised version of those presented in Pipień (2007, 2010). The flexibility of the construct involves the existence of a set of coordinates along which the fat tails and asymmetry can be modelled. In the conditional distribution both linear and nonlinear dependence between individual returns can be modelled, while the latter being described by the copula function. In the empirical part of the paper the dynamics and dependence of daily returns of WIG20 SPOT and FUTURES are discussed.

Year

Volume

203

Pages

134-142

Physical description

Contributors

References

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  • Ferreira J.T.A.S, Steel M.F.J. (2006): A Constructive Representation of Univariate Skewed Distributions. "Journal of the American Statistical Association" 101, s. 823-839.
  • Golub G.H., Van Loan C.F. (1983): Matrix Computations. John Hopkins University Press, Baltimore.
  • Osiewalski J., Osiewalski K. (2011): Modele hybrydowe MSV-MGARCH z trzema procesami ukrytymi w badaniu zmienności cen na różnych rynkach. "Folia Oeconomica Cracoviensia" 52, s. 71-85.
  • Osiewalski J., Osiewalski K. (2012): Modele hybrydowe z dwoma procesami ukrytymi. "Zeszyty Naukowe UEK, Seria Finanse" 895.
  • Osiewalski J., Pajor A. (2009): Bayesian Analysis for Hybrid MSF-SBEKK Models of Multivariate Volatility. "Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics" 1, s. 179-202.
  • Osiewalski J., Pajor A. (2010): Bayesian Value-at-Risk for a Portfolio: Multi- and Univariate Approaches using MSF-SBEKK Models. "Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics" 2, s. 253-277.
  • Osiewalski J., Pipień M. (2004): Bayesian Comparison of Bivariate ARCH-Type Models for the Main Exchange Rates in Poland. "Journal of Econometrics" 123, s. 371-391.
  • Pipień M. (2006): Bayesian Comparison of GARCH Processes with Skewness Mechanism in Conditional Distributions. "Acta Physica Polonica" B 37, s. 3105-3121.
  • Pipień M. (2007): An Approach to Measuring the Relation between Risk and Return. Bayesian Analysis for WIG Data. "Folia Oeconomica Cracoviensia" 48, s. 97-119.
  • Pipień M. (2010): A Coordinate Free Conditional Distributions in Multivariate GARCH Models. W: Financial Markets. Principles of Modelling Forecasting and Decision Making. Eds. W. Milo, P. Wdowiński. FindEcon Conference Monograph Series 8, Łódź University Press, Łódź, s. 99-111.
  • Pipień M. (2012): Orthogonal Transformation of Coordinates in Copula M-GARCH Models - Bayesian Analysis for WIG20 SPOT and FUTURES Returns. "Folia Oeconomica Cracoviensia", 53, s. 21-40.

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

ISSN
2083-8611

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.desklight-82d3fde8-578b-43d9-96c2-a7ba92da7f07
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