Time Series Model for Predicting the Mean Death Rate of a Disease

• Authors: Shangodoyin D. K. , Ojo J. F. , Olaomi J. O. , Adebile A. O.
• Languages of publication: EN

Abstracts

EN

This study develops a time series model to estimate the mean death rate of either an emerging disease or re-emerging disease with a bilinear induced model. The estimated death rate converges rapidly to the true parameter value for a given mean death at time t. The derived model could be used in predicting the m-step future death rate value of a given disease. We illustrated the new concept with real life data.

Keywords

EN

Mean death; bilinear model; Death cases; emerging and re-emerging diseases

• Publisher: Główny Urząd Statystyczny
• Journal: Statistics in Transition new series
• Year: 2012
• Volume: 13
• Issue: 2
• Pages: 405-418

Contributors

author

Shangodoyin D. K.

• University of Botswana

author

Ojo J. F.

• University of Ibadan

author

Olaomi J. O.

• University of Botswana

author

Adebile A. O.

• Federal Polytechnic

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