The Use of Network Metrics in Building Intelligence Early Warning Systems. The Structural Conduciveness Index

• Authors: Cristina Posastiuc
• Languages of publication: EN

Abstracts

EN

Specific collective behavior forms (for example, mass protests) emerge only if certain conditions are met simultaneously: good structural conduciveness of the group, a pre-existing structural strain, a formed generalized belief, the appearance of precipitating factors, a grass-roots or top-down mobilization for the action and the already-formed perception that the social control instruments are no longer in the authorities’ hands. Mass protests seem to follow this ‘perfect-storm’ recipe, from Tunis’ violent protests that kick-started the ‘Arab Spring’ to the late 2011 riots in London. This paper presents and discusses how structural conduciveness could be measured using network metrics such as k-cores, clustering, cliqueness, reciprocity, cohesion, homophily, structural holes, triad closure.

Keywords

EN

early warning system; intelligence; network metrics; social strain theory; structural conduciveness Index

• Publisher: Sciendo
• Journal: International Review of Social Research
• Year: 2013
• Volume: 3
• Issue: 3
• Pages: 63-70

Dates

published

2013-10-01

online

2015-05-06

Contributors

author

Cristina Posastiuc

• Mihai Viteazul National Intelligence Academy

References

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Identifiers

DOI

10.1515/irsr-2013-0022