Projekcje umieralności – metodologia oraz założenia w prognozach ONZ dla Polski

• Authors: Lange, Milena

Abstracts

EN

The mortality projections are the base of population prospects and a starting point of all fore- casts. Mortality is projected on the basis of models of change of life expectancy produced by the United Nations Population Division. The selection of a model for each country is based on recent trends in life expectancy by sex. A comparisons between mortality changes (life expectancy, infant mortality) and forecast show that extrapolation doesn't give good results for exceptional periods - e.g. in Poland during crisis of health period.

Keywords

EN

prognozowanie demograficzne; demografia; umieralność

• Publisher: Uniwersytet Łódzki. Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego
• Journal: Acta Universitatis Lodziensis. Folia Oeconomica
• Year: 2011
• Volume: 254

Dates

published

2011

Contributors

author

Lange, Milena

other

Uniwersytet Łódzki; Wydział Ekonomiczno-Socjologiczny; Instytut Statystyki i Demografii

Identifiers

URI

http://hdl.handle.net/11089/675