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PL EN


2013 | 3/1 | 7-20

Article title

Jakościowy cykl koniunkturalny w Polsce. Sektorowe zmiany aktywności gospodarczej

Content

Title variants

EN
Qualitative business cycle in Poland. Fluctuations of sectoral business activity

Languages of publication

PL EN

Abstracts

EN
The paper discusses cyclical changes of business activity in four sectors of the Polish economy, namely manufacturing industry, construction, motor transport and retail trade. Specifi cally, we use qualitative composite indicators based on business tendency surveys to analyse cyclical fl uctuations in terms of their duration, timing of turning points, amplitude, intensity and leads/lags with reference to GDP. We search for variables that lead changes of business activity (as measured by GDP) in Poland.

Year

Issue

3/1

Pages

7-20

Physical description

Contributors

References

  • Adamowicz E., Dudek S., Pachucki D., Walczyk K., Wahania cykliczne w Polsce i strefie euro, Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego 2012, nr 89 Adamowicz E., Walczyk K., Fakty empiryczne w danych jakościowych. Z badań koniunktury IRG SGH, Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego 2012, nr 90, s. 39–65 Burns A.F., Mitchell W.C., Measuring business cycles, National Bureau of Economic Research, New York 1946 Klein P.A., Moore G.H., Monitoring growth cycles in market-oriented countries. Developing and using international economic indicators, NBER Studies in Business Cycles 1985, vol. 26 Komisja Europejska, The joint harmonized EU programme of business and consumer surveys. User guide, Bruksela 2007 Lucas R.E. Jr, Studies in business cycle theory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press, Cambridge 1981 Mitchell W.C., Business cycles: the problem and its setting, National Bureau of Economic Research, New York 1927 Moore G.H., Business cycles, infl ation and forecasting, NBER Book Series Studies in Business Cycles 1983, 24 Zarnowitz V., Orders, production and investment – a cyclical and structural analysis, Colombia University, New York 1973 Zarnowitz V., Moore G.H., Major changes in cyclical behavior, w: The American business cycle today: continuity and change”, Chicago University Press, Chicago 1986 Zarnowitz V., Business cycles. Theory, history, indicators and forecasting, The University of Chicago, Chicago 1992

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.desklight-e4a9c984-773e-402c-a2d6-a1236bcdd3e3
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