Full-text resources of CEJSH and other databases are now available in the new Library of Science.
Visit https://bibliotekanauki.pl

PL EN


2017 | 20 | 3 | 41-56

Article title

Inflation and Economic Growth: a Review of The International Literature

Content

Title variants

Inflacja a wzrost gospodarczy: przegląd literatury międzynarodowej

Languages of publication

EN

Abstracts

EN
This paper surveys the existing literature on the relationship between inflation and economic growth in developed and developing countries, highlighting the theoretical and empirical indications. The study finds that the impact of inflation on economic growth varies from country to country and over time. The study also finds that the results from these studies depend on country‑specific characteristics, the data set used, and the methodology employed. On balance, the study finds overwhelming support in favour of a negative relationship between inflation and growth, especially in developed economies. However, there is still much controversy about the specific threshold level of inflation that is appropriate for growth. Most previous studies on this subject just assume a unidirectional causal relationsship between inflation and economic growth. To our knowledge, this may be the first review of its kind to survey, in detail, the existing research on the relationship between inflation and economic growth in developed and developing countries.
PL
Artykuł stanowi przegląd istniejącej literaturę dotyczącej zależności między inflacją a wzrostem gospodarczym w krajach rozwiniętych i rozwijających się, z uwzględnieniem zarówno aspektów teoretycznych jak i empirycznych. W wyniku przeprowadzonego badania stwierdzono, że wpływ inflacji na wzrost gospodarczy jest zróżnicowany w różnych państwach i w czasie. Opracowanie wskazuje również, że wyniki tych badań są zależne od specyfiki danego kraju, wykorzystanego zestawu danych i zastosowanej metodologii. Generalnie badania wskazują na występowanie zdecydowanie negatywnego związku między inflacją a wzrostem gospodarczym, zwłaszcza w krajach rozwiniętych. Nadal jednak istnieje wiele kontrowersji na temat konkretnego progu poziomu inflacji, który jest korzystny z punktu widzenia wzrostu. Większość wcześniejszych badań nad tym tematem zakłada jedynie jednokierunkowy związek przyczynowy między inflacją a wzrostem gospodarczym. Niniejsze opracowanie jest być może pierwszą próbą dokonania szczegółowego przeglądu istniejących badań nad zależnościami między inflacją a wzrostem gospodarczym w krajach rozwiniętych i rozwijających się.

Year

Volume

20

Issue

3

Pages

41-56

Physical description

Dates

published
2017-09-30

Contributors

  • University of South Africa, College of Economics and Management Sciences

References

  • Abbott A. & De Vita G. (2011), Revisiting the relationship between inflation and growth: A note on the role of exchange rate regimes, ʻEconomic Issuesʼ, 16(1), 37.
  • Aiyagari S.R. (1990), Deflating the case for zero inflation, ʽQuarterly Reviewʼ, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, 14, 2–11.
  • Akgul I . & Ozdemir S. (2012), Inflation threshold and the effects on economic growth, ʽIktisat Isletme ve Finansʼ, 27(313), 85–106.
  • Aydın C., Esen Ö., & Bayrak M. (2016), Inflation and Economic Growth: A Dynamic Panel Threshold Analysis for Turkish Republics in Transition Process, ʽProcedia‑Social and Behavioral Sciencesʼ, 229, 196–205.
  • Baharumshah A.Z., Slesman L., & Wohar M.E. (2016), Inflation, inflation uncertainty, and economic growth in emerging and developing countries: Panel data evidence, ʽEconomic Systemsʼ, 40(4), 638–657.
  • Barro R.J. (1995), Inflation and economic growth (No. w5326). National bureau of economic research.
  • Barro R. J. (1996). Inflation and growth, ʽFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Reviewʼ, 78, 153–169.
  • Baumol W.J. (1999), Retrospectives: Say’s Law, ʻThe Journal of Economic Perspectivesʼ, 13(1), 195–204.
  • Benhabib J. & Spiegel M.M. (2009), Moderate inflation and the deflation–depression link, ʻJournal of Money, Credit and Bankingʼ 41(4), 787–798.
  • Boyd J.H. & Champ B.A. (2006), Inflation, banking, and economic growth, ʻEconomic Commen­taryʼ, (May).
  • Bruno M. & Easterly W. (1998), Inflation crises and long‑run growth, ʻJournal of Monetary Economicsʼ, 41(1), 3–26.
  • Cameron N., Hum D. & Simpson W. (1996), Stylized facts and stylized illusions: Inflation and productivity revisited, ʻCanadian Journal of Economicsʼ, 29, 152–162.
  • De Gregorio J. (1992), The effect of inflation on economic growth, ʻEuropean Economic Reviewʼ, 36, 417–424.
  • De Gregorio J. (1993), Inflation, taxation, and long‑run growth, ʻJournal of Monetary Economicsʼ, 31(3), 271–298.
  • Dornbusch R. & Frenkel J.A. (1973), Inflation and growth: alternative approaches, ʻJournal of Money, Credit and Bankingʼ, 5(1), 141–156.
  • Dorrance S. (1963), The effect of inflation on economic development. IMF Staff Papers.10 1–47. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.
  • Dotsey M. & Sarte P.D. (2000), Inflation uncertainty and growth in a cash‑in‑advance economy, ʻJournal of Monetary Economicsʼ, 45(3), 631–655.
  • Drukker D., Gomis‑Porqueras P. & Hernandez‑Verme P. (2005), Threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and growth: A new panel‑data approach. MPRA Working Paper No. 38225 München: Munich Personal RePEc Archive.
  • Eggoh J.C. & Khan M. (2014), On the nonlinear relationship between inflation and economic growth, ʻResearch in Economicsʼ, 68(2), 133–143.
  • Erbaykal E. & Okuyan H.A. (2008), Does inflation depress economic growth? Evidence from Turkey, ʻInternational Journal of Finance and Economicsʼ, Vol. 13, No. 17, 2008. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1288783
  • Feldstein M. (1982), Inflation, tax rules and the accumulation of residential and nonresidential capital, ʻThe Scandinavian Journal of Economicsʼ, 293–311.
  • Fischer S. (1993), The role of macroeconomic factors in growth, ʻJournal of Monetary Economicsʼ, 32, 485–512.
  • Friedman M. (1956), The quantity theory of money: A restatement. [in:] M. Friedman (Ed.), Studies in the quantity theory of money (pp. 3–21). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
  • Ghosh A. & Phillips S. (1998), Warning: Inflation may be harmful to your growth. ʻIMF Staff Papersʼ, 45 672–710. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.
  • Gillman M. & Harris M.N. (2010), The effect of inflation on growth, ʻEconomics of Transitionʼ, 18(4), 697–714.
  • Gillman M. & Kejak M. (2005), Contrasting models of the effect of inflation on growth, ʻJournal of Economic Surveysʼ, 19(1), 113–136.
  • Gillman M., Harris M.N. & Mátyás L. (2004), Inflation and growth: Explaining a negative effect, ʻEmpirical economicsʼ, 29(1), 149–167.
  • Gokal V. and Hanif S. (2004). Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth in Fiji, Working Paper 2004/04.
  • Gylfason T. & Herbertsson T.T. (2001), Does inflation matter for growth?, ʻJapan and the world economyʼ, 13(4), 405–428.
  • Khan M.S. & Senhadji A.S. (2001), Threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and growth, ʻIMF Staff papersʼ, 48(1), 1–21.
  • Kremer S., Bick A. &Nautz D. (2013), Inflation and growth: new evidence from a dynamic panel threshold analysis, ʻEmpirical Economicsʼ, 1–18.
  • Kremer S., Bick A. & Nautz D. (2009), Inflation and growth: New evidence from a dynamic panel threshold analysis, SFP 649 Discussion Paper No. 036. Zuberlin: Humboldt‑Universität.
  • Lucas R.E. (1973), Some international evidence on output‑inflation tradeoffs, ʻThe American Economic Reviewʼ, 63(3), 326–334.
  • Malla S. (1997), Inflation and economic growth: Evidence from a growth equation, Department of Economics, University of Hawaiâ I at Monoa, Honoulu, USA.
  • Mallik G. & Chowdhury R.M. (2001), Inflation and economic growth: Evidence from South Asian countries, ʻAsian Pacific Development Journalʼ, 8, 123–135.
  • Mubarik Y.A. & Riazuddin R. (2005), Inflation and growth: An estimate of the threshold level of inflation in Pakistan, State Bank of Pakistan.
  • Munir Q. & Mansur K. (2009), Non‑linearity between inflation rate and GDP growth in Malaysia, ʻEconomics bulletinʼ, 29(3), 1555–1569.
  • Odhiambo N.M. (2012), Inflation dynamics and economic growth in Tanzania: a multivariate time series model, ʻJournal of Applied Business Research (JABR)ʼ, 28(3), 317–324.
  • Ozdemir Z.A. (2010), Dynamics of inflation, output growth, and their uncertainty in the UK: an empirical analysis, ʻThe Manchester Schoolʼ, 78(6), 511–537.
  • Rapach D.E. (2003), International evidence on the long‑run impact of inflation, ʻJournal of Money, Credit, and Bankingʼ, 35(1), 23–48.
  • Sarel M. (1996), Nonlinear effects of inflation on economic growth, ʻStaff Papersʼ, 43(1), 199–215.
  • Sidrauski M. (1967), Rational choice and patterns of growth in a monetary economy, ʻAmerican Economic Reviewʼ, 57, 534–544.
  • Snowdon B. & Vane H.R. (2005), Modern macroeconomics: its origins, development and current state, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • Stockman A.C. (1981), Anticipated inflation and the capital stock in a cash‑in‑advance economy, ʻJournal of Monetary Economicsʼ, 8, 387–393.
  • Temple J. (2000), Inflation and growth: Stories short and tall, ʻJournal of Economic Surveysʼ, 14, 395–426.
  • Tobin J. (1965), Money and economic growth, ʻEconometrica: Journal of the Econometric Societyʼ, 671–684.
  • Tung L.T. & Thanh P.T. (2015), Threshold in the Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in Vietnam, ʻAsian Social Scienceʼ, 11(10), 105.
  • Valdovinos C.G.F. (2003), Inflation and economic growth in the long run, ʻEconomics Lettersʼ, 80(2), 167–173.
  • Vinayagathasan T. (2013), Inflation and economic growth: A dynamic panel threshold analysis for Asian economies, ʻJournal of Asian Economicsʼ, 26, 31–41.
  • Wai U.T. (1959), The relation between inflation and economic development: a statistical inductive study, ʻStaff Papers (International Monetary Fund)ʼ, 7(2), 302–317.

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.ojs-doi-10_1515_cer-2017-0019
JavaScript is turned off in your web browser. Turn it on to take full advantage of this site, then refresh the page.