Monetary Determinants of House Prices in Central and Eastern European Countries

• Authors: Viktor Shevchuk

Title variants

PL

Czynniki monetarne cen nieruchomości w krajach Europy Środkowej i Wschodniej

Abstracts

PL

Przeprowadzone badanie ma na celu oszacowanie empiryczne czynników monetarnych dla cen nieruchomości w Republice Czeskiej, na Węgrzech, w Polsce i w Rumunii. Wykorzystując kwartalne dane panelowe z lat 2010-2019, stwierdzono, że wzrost stopy procentowej banku centralne- go powoduje spadek cen nieruchomości, przy podobnym oddzialywaniu inflacji konsumenckiej i nie- doszacowanego kursu walutowego w ujęciu nominalnym i realnym. Ceny nieruchomości nie zależą od cyklu koniunkturalnego, ale boom na rynku nieruchomości pozytywnie oddziałuje na cykliczne zmiany dochodu, nie mając jednocześnie wpływu na ceny konsumenckie i kurs walutowy.

EN

This research aimed at the empirical estimation of the monetary determinants of house prices in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. The application of quarterly panel data for the period 2010-2019 indicates that a central bank policy rate increase was responsible for the fall in house prices, with a similar effect on house prices by a higher consumer inflation and nominal (real) exchange rate undervaluation. There was no reaction of house prices to the business cycle. However, the housing boom had a positive contribution to cyclical changes in output, while not affecting consumer prices and exchange rate.

Keywords

EN

house prices; interest rate; exchange rate; Central and Eastern Europe

PL

house prices; interest rate; exchange rate; Central and Eastern Europe

• Publisher: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
• Journal: Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
• Year: 2022
• Volume: 66
• Issue: 4
• Pages: 132-146

Dates

published

2022

Contributors

author

Viktor Shevchuk

• Cracow University of Technology

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Identifiers

DOI

10.15611/pn.2022.4.09

Biblioteka Nauki

2158930