The article presents the analysis of 17 issues of the AQAP propaganda Inspire magazine edited in the web. The construction of the magazine was described and the profile of the targeted recipient, as well as the mechanism motivating the readers to taking up terrorist activities. Based on the results of the study specific precursors were indicated, which are supposed to initiate extremist behaviours in Muslim societies living in the countries belonging to the western civilization.
PL
W artykule przedstawiono wyniki analizy 17 numerów „Inspire”, propagandowego magazynu internetowego wydawanego przez Al-Kaidę na Półwyspie Arabskim (AQAP). Opisano konstrukcję publikacji, profil docelowego odbiorcy oraz scharakteryzowano mechanizm motywujący czytelnika do podjęcia działań o charakterze terrorystycznym. Na podstawie wyników przeprowadzonych badań wskazano konkretne czynniki mające zainicjować ekstremistyczne zachowania społeczności muzułmańskich zamieszkujących państwa zachodniego kręgu cywilizacyjnego.
The main aim of this article is to present an evolution of the terrorism threat in the Middle East in 2016. For this purpose, firstly, the essence and determinants of the contemporary terrorism threat have been analyzed. Some main Middle East terrorist organizations, actively operating in this area, have also been indicated. Secondly, the chronology and the most important terrorism trends in the region have been presented. A special attention has been paid to consequences of the fall of the Islamic State. And last but not least some predictive scenarios regarding the development of above phenomenon in 2017 and beyond have been pointed out.
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