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W artykule skonstruowano tablice kohortowe zagregowane żywotności firm, które są modelem nieparametrycznym z pojedynczym stanem (istnienie podmiotu gospodarczego) oraz jednym punktem wejścia (moment rejestracji) i jednym punktem wyjścia (moment wyrejestrowania). Badania przeprowadzono na zbiorowości firm zlikwidowanych w Szczecinie w latach 1990-2000. Poddano analizie prawdopodobieństwo przetrwania firm po x miesiącach działalności dla kohort podmiotów zarejestrowanych w Szczecinie w styczniu w latach 1990-1999.
EN
In the paper one has constructed the cohort aggregated life tables that are non--parametric model with simple state (existence of economic subject) and with one point of entry (moment of registration) and one point of output (moment of log off). Survey has been conducted on the set of firms logged off in Szczecin between 1990—2000. It 's been analyzed probability of survival of firm after x months of activity for cohorts of subjects registered in Szczecin in January in the years 1990-1999.
PL
Celem artykułu jest analiza intensywności wychodzenia z bezrobocia w zależności od stażu pracy osoby bezrobotnej. Postawiono hipotezę, że zmienia się ona w zależności od doświadczenia zawodowego, płci i wykształcenia. W badaniu ograniczono się do analizy bezrobocia rejestrowanego, na podstawie danych Powiatowego Urzędu Pracy w Szczecinie (PUP w Szczecinie), gdyż zastosowane modele hazardu wymagają dostępu do indywidualnych danych opisujących historię zarejestrowania osoby bezrobotnej, a takimi danymi dysponują w Polsce jedynie urzędy pracy. (fragment tekstu)
EN
The purpose of this article is to analyse the intensity of unemployment leaving in relation to the length of an unemployed person's work seniority. A hypothesis was made that its intensity changes depending of that person's employment history and on its gender as well as education. The research material consisted of individual data of21,398 unemployed people registered by the Poviat Labour Office (PUP) in Szczecin in 2012 and observed throughout 2013. The author used the event history analysis, which was conducted in three steps. First, the author assessed the likelihood of remaining unemployed depending on the unemployment period. Secondly, she divided the registered unemployed into groups according to their employment history and determined the relationship between the employment intensity and the span of time when the members of those groups remained registered in PUP. In the third step, she used the average hazard rates to compare the intensities of unemployment leaving in individual groups. (original abstract)
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