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EN
The article presents basic conditions of innovative processes in the era of globalization. Technological advance and globalization cause that the way and scope of company activity becomes the knowledge oriented. Similarly, the production structure of the economy is shifted to knowledge oriented branches. Thus, the most important thing for the dynamics of economic development is the use of those factors which guarantee optimal chances of achieving that dynamics regardless of place. On the one hand, it increases the level of innovativeness and competitiveness; on the other hand, it allows to diminish average costs and to improve efficiency.
EN
The main objective of this paper is to outline dynamically the evolution of the Foresight in the 2nd and 3rd phase of Globalisation. Here, the key mission is to characterize partial determiners and circumstances that have conducted the evolution of this pervasive R&D planning method, together with broader participation and changing focus of Foresight over the time. The general hypothesis is that Foresight has evolved like the consequence of increasing uncertainties that bring Globalisation and technical progress, and it is the specific form of strategic participative planning. The new discoveries are analysed here by an extensive literature review and comparisons, and also based on the Bibliometrical analysis of the European Foresight Monitoring Network database. The scope of this theme and the diversity of specialists’ opinions do not allow performing too specific analyses. The main approach here is to identify the main development of Foresight in relations to several key historical events in the 2nd and 3rd phase of Globalisation as well as to outline several mutual linkages.
Przegląd Statystyczny
|
2008
|
vol. 55
|
issue 4
5-23
EN
Development of 'new economies' leading to economies mostly based on knowledge implies the construction of new long-term macroeconometric models. The structure of the new W8D -2007 model for Poland is presented. It is a complete model. It covers the blocks of equations explaining final demand and the production process. The consumption and investment function estimates are shown. It incorporates the impacts of new technologies being endogenized, as well as human capital. The paper discusses the notions of extended production function and total factor productivity (TFP). They cover the measurement and explanation of the role of domestic and foreign R&D expenditures, as well as educational expenditures. The price and wages equations close the model. The discussion is extended to include proposals to construct new submodels explaining the sectors of research and education and also the ICT industries, as well as the ecological issues.
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