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Safe haven instruments – a comparison between the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic

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Siemaszkiewicz K.
Econometrics. Ekonometria. Advances in Applied Data Analytics
|
2021
|
vol. 25
|
issue 4
1-16
PL
Podczas globalnego kryzysu finansowego i pandemii COVID-19 rynki finansowe zanotowały najniższe wartości indeksów giełdowych. Należy pamiętać, że aktualny kryzys różni się od globalnego kryzysu finansowego. W artykule porównano dynamikę instrumentów safe haven podczas globalnego kryzysu finansowego oraz pandemii COVID-19. Przeanalizowano dynamiczną relację między złotem, srebrem, indeksami US Dollar, Swiss franc, kontraktami terminowymi na soję i kukurydzę oraz rynkami giełdowymi dla inwestorów z Niemiec, Wielkiej Brytanii, Francji, Hiszpani, Włoch oraz Polski. Wyestymowano parametry modelów DCC albo CCC, by porównać dynamiczną relację między wspomnianymi rynkami giełdowymi i instrumentami finansowymi. Wyniki pokazują, że jedynie złoto może być traktowane jako instrument safe haven podczas obu rozważanych kryzysów. Podczas globalnego kryzysu finansowego złoto, indeksy US Dollar i Swiss franc w prawie wszystkich krajach zidentyfikowano jako instrument safe haven.
EN
During the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008 and the COVID-19 pandemic, financial markets have e touched their lowest levels. This paper tried to compare the performance of safe haven assets during the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic in such countries as Germany, Great Britain, France, Spain, Italy, and Poland. The author investigated the dynamic relations between gold, silver, the US Dollar Index, the Swiss Franc Index, soybean commodity futures and corn commodity futures. The study estimated the DCC or CCC models to compare the dynamic relation between the above-mentioned stock markets and financial instruments. The results showed that only gold could protect investors from stock market losses during both crises. During the GFC, gold, the USD Index, the Swiss Franc Index in almost all the considered countries could be identified as safe haven instruments. Surprisingly, the Swiss Franc Index acted as a safe haven instrument during the GFC but not during the COVID-19 pandemic. During the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 and the COVID-19 pandemic, the financial markets have touched their lowest levels. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the US stock markets experienced their worst turmoil since the 1930s; for example, the GFC but not during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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