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EN
The aim of the article is to indicate determinants of, so called, city mayors reelection phenomenon by using survey methodology. The article is based on two exit poll surveys’ data, conducted in 2006 (n=1769) and in 2014 (n=1160).The analysis has shown statistically significant relationships between voting for an incumbent and some socio-demographical variables (such as age and socio-economic status), voting motivations (particularly motives of candidates’ accomplishments) and intensity of one of socio-psychological human being feature which is an aversion toward changes. The evidence that voting for reelection correlates with the level of personal political knowledge has not been found.
PL
Celem artykułu jest określenie uwarunkowań reelekcji prezydenta miasta za pomocą badań sondażowych typu exit poll zrealizowanych w dniu elekcji samorządowych z roku 2006 (n=1769) i z roku 2014 (n=1160). Analizy wykazały istotne statystycznie związki między głosowaniem na inkumbenta a wiekiem i kategorią społeczno-ekonomiczną wyborców, deklarowanymi przez nich motywacjami głosowania w wyborach prezydenta miasta (szczególnie jeżeli chodzi o deklarację motywu dokonań) oraz poziomem wykazywanej przez głosujących niechęci wobec zmian. Badania nie ujawniły natomiast związków między głosowaniem za reelekcją a poziomem wiedzy politycznej.
EN
It is the first time when the edition of social research ‘Political Preference’, was carried in a year without election. It determines certain electoral attitudes, because the mass media do not influence society and voters do not take tactical decision. In consequence, the results of this research are different from the ones during real election, because these decisions have to be treated like potential ones. The author decided to continue research, which began in 2010. Therefore, electorate behavior could be compared between campaign period and ‘off year election’. Apart from party leaders influencing the campaign, this article includes research results concerning television debate. Both problems are the main components of presidentialization. In the first issue prominent majority of questioned chose the party ideology as the main determinant of potential decisions. This conclusion is different from the previous research. This can be the main information in explaining political phenomena or processes. However, what is needed here is an appropriate distance, because in this survey the author changed answers rotation. Apart from that we have to remember about research period - ‘off year election’. Although television debates have not been permanent component all campaigns, Polish electorate supports this idea. Over 78 per cent of researches would like to organize a debate between two main parties leaders before every elections. However, we cannot look foreword to lead this idea in the Election Code, because neither society nor politicians will insist on institutionalizing this idea.
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