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EN
of sub-central governments in Poland and in particular an indication of their advantages and disadvantages, including the consequences of the adoption of the new regulations for the financial situation of local authorities. In addition, the article also specifies possible directions of reforms aimed at improving such limits suggested by both the representatives of the legal doctrine and general practitioners.
PL
Artykuł nie zawiera abstraktu w języku polskim
EN
Stability and Growth Pact is the main rule-based framework for the coordination of national fiscal policies in the economic and monetary union (EMU). It was established to safeguard sound public finances, an important requirement for EMU to function properly. Member states had a lot of determination before setting up a monetary union (nominal criteria were a condition to adopt common currency). In the next years, coordination of fiscal policy was not so successful. In many countries, revenues were temporarily boosted by tax-rich activity, while they didn’t restrict their expenditures. In most countries fiscal policy was pro-cyclical (not anti-cyclical) and they didn’t achieve their MTO. Financial crisis has sharpened budgetary problems in member states and showed the weakness of coordination rules.
PL
W niniejszym artykule oceniamy skutki ekonomiczne istniejących reguł fiskalnych w Polsce, Szwajcarii i Niemczech. W analizie ustalamy związek pomiędzy PKB, dochodami i wydatkami rządowymi, estymując model VAR oparty na danych amerykańskich dla okresu 1960–2015. Nakładamy na te relacje polityki fiskalne implikowane przez daną regułę i analizujemy konsekwencje dla symulowanych ścieżek długu, deficytu i wydatków pod względem stabilności i cykliczności. Stwierdzamy, że reguły szwajcarska i niemiecka są konserwatywne i stabilizują deficyty na niskich poziomach. Może to być jednak niewystarczające do stabilizacji długu w długim okresie w ścisłym sensie. Polska reguła stabilizuje poziom długu na poziomie około 40–50% PKB w długim okresie. Wszystkie reguły implikują antycykliczną politykę fiskalną: relacja deficytu do PKB powodowana zmianami luki PKB wzrasta w całym cyklu koniunkturalnym o maksymalnie 2,2 p.p., 3,3 p.p. i 3,9 p.p. odpowiednio dla reguły polskiej, szwajcarskiej i niemieckiej. Wyniki te można uznać za zadowalające w przypadku reguły szwajcarskiej i niemieckiej.
EN
This paper assesses the economic implications of existing fiscal rules in Poland, Switzerland and Germany. In the analysis, we establish economic relationships between output, government revenues and expenditures, estimating a VAR model based on US data for the 1960–2015 period. We impose on these relationships fiscal policies implied by a given rule and analyse the consequences for the simulated paths of debts, deficits and expenditures in terms of stability and cyclicality. We find that the Swiss and German rules are strict and stabilise deficits at low levels. However, this may still not be sufficient to stabilise debt in the long term in the strict sense. The Polish rule stabilises the debt level at about 40% – 50% of the GDP in the long term. All the rules imply an anticyclical fiscal policy: the deficit-to-GDP ratio implied by changes in the output gap increases by up to 2.2 percentage points, 3.3 pp and 3.9 pp over the whole business cycle for the Polish, Swiss and German rules respectively. These results can be perceived as satisfactory for the Swiss and German rules.
EN
Fiscal rules constitute tools that match the characteristics of a transparent fiscal policy. Increasing the predictability of activities conducted within the public finance sector, which can limit politicians’ irresponsible behaviour, is of crucial importance. Fiscal rules may be preventative in nature – they can, therefore, prevent negative phenomena in the area of public finance now and in the near future. They become a kind of obstacle for potential inappropriate fiscal expansion, expenditure expansion in particular, of the public authorities, which could lead to too deep an imbalance between the liabilities of the state and the sources sufficient to cover its obligations. The trends in changes in the current public finance are supplemented by introducing fiscal rules or strengthening their role. The basic problem with fiscal rules is that in many cases they are leaky and are also not consistently observed. The aim of the article is to present a brief overview of national and supranational fiscal rules and reference to the existing situation in the public finance in Poland. The article presents the analysis of the source literature, legal acts and statistical data.
EN
Several reforms aiming to strengthen budgetary discipline in the European Union have been implemented since the outbreak of the European debt crisis. Arguably the most important one is the Fiscal Compact, which stipulates that each signatory country must enshrine in domestic legislation an upper limit on the structural budget deficit, that is, the deficit after cyclical and other temporary factors have been excluded. This paper analyses the contents of the Fiscal Compact and discusses challenges for its implementation and efficacy. The conclusion is that the Fiscal Compact may be challenging to implement and enforce because the rules are very complex and require complicated calculations that are subject to very large forecasting uncertainty. The Fiscal Compact could, however, lead to a stronger national commitment to fiscal prudence.
EN
The article provides an overview of the fiscal surveillance instruments used in the EU member states with particular attention given to Poland. The objective of the paper is to present fiscal councils, medium-term budgetary framework (MTBF) and fiscal rules. The main focus is placed on these features, which could prove their impact on reducing budget deficit and public debt. The author concludes that although it is hard to identify direct links between these instruments and fiscal consolidation, the well-defined instruments can play a crucial role in supporting fiscal credibility and fiscal transparency.
EN
Resource-rich countries face large and persistent shocks, especially coming from volatile commodity prices. Given the severity of the shocks, it would be expected that these countries adopt countercyclical fiscal policies to help shield the domestic economy, either through larger spending at times of commodity busts or lower spending during commodity booms. Taking advantage of a new dataset covering 48 non-renewable commodity exporters for the period 1970–2014, we investigate whether fiscal policy does indeed play a stabilizing role. Our analysis shows that fiscal policy tends to have a procyclical bias (mainly via expenditures) and, contrary to others, we do not find evidence that this bias has declined in recent years. Further, we find that the adoption of fiscal rules does not seem to reduce procyclicality in a significant way, but the quality of political institutions does matter. Finally, we find that non-commodity revenues tend to respond only to persistent changes in commodity prices.
EN
Purpose: The paper discusses the validity of the thesis according to which Polish budgetary framework in place in 2011 required only minor adjustments in order to be consistent with the principles set forth in the EU Council Directive on requirements for budgetary frameworks of Member States adopted in November 2011. Basic elements of the budgetary framework laid down in the Directive had already been provided for in Polish law. Methodology: A comparative analysis of the provisions of the Directive with relevant acts of Polish legislation, including the Public Finance Act, was carried out. The author outlines the Polish budgetary framework before 2011 and the most important adjustments introduced by the end of 2013 on the basis of the budgetary framework structure set forth in the Directive. Findings: The assessment of the convergence of provisions encompassed definitions, accounting, statistics, forecasts, numerical fiscal rules, medium-term budgetary frameworks, transparency and consistency. Its results demonstrate that Polish regulations complied with the provisions of the Directive. In order to confirm their correctness, an assessment of the practical application of recent adjustments, which entered into force in 2014, must be carried out. Constraints to research: The analysis addresses the main concepts and their most important characteristics, and therefore a synthetic approach to the subject required omitting a number of specific issues. Originality: The paper analyses the convergence of the Polish budgetary framework in 2011 and its subsequent adjustments to the provisions of the Directive of the EU Council requiring Member States to amend their legislation by the end of 2013.
Financial Law Review
|
2021
|
vol. 24
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issue 4
24-42
EN
The aim of this article is to provide the synthetic presentation of over twenty years of Poland’s experience in establishing and obeying the system of fiscal rules. This experience depicts the scale of problems entailed by public authorities’ low determination as regards observance of constraints imposed on them. Therefore, it is necessary to substantially reinforce the budgetary frameworks in Poland with the use of the best European models. Firstly, the ESA 2010 standards should be fully implemented into the Polish legal order. Secondly, the Polish system of fiscal rules should be complemented with the budget balance rule, which would make it easier to achieve and maintain a medium-term budgetary objective defined by the EU regulations. Thirdly, a fiscal institution should be established, which would allow for constant and independent of the government monitoring of the observance of fiscal rules. Such institutional changes would make it possible to constrain the discretionary nature of the fiscal policy and, consequently, would increase Poland’s fiscal sustainability in the medium and long term. The basic research methods used in this paper are dogmatic analysis and comparative legal analysis.
Financial Law Review
|
2020
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vol. 20
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issue 4
105-117
EN
The foretaste of the financial crisis raises the question of the functioning, application and enforcement of measures to ensure sound and sustainable public finances. The limitation of public debt was enshrined in law in the Czech legal system in 2017, and in April of this year one of the established fiscal rules was amended. The aim of this article is to critically analyze the adjustment of the public debt limitation that has been undertaken in the context of the current crisis caused by the spread of COVID-19. The introduction of the article will describe the European and Czech context of the limitation of public debt and setting budgetary responsibility. Subsequently, the article briefly summarizes the effects of the coronavirus crisis on the implementation of the state budget and, consequently, the justification for the legislative change of the set fiscal rule. The methods used in the article are mainly the method of literary research relevant sources, the method of description of the limitation of the public debt regulation in European union and in passages describing the current state of budgetary responsibility rules. Method of evaluation appears in the parts of the work evaluating the legislative adjustments to budgetary responsibility rules due to the coronavirus crises.
EN
The aim of the paper is to discuss numerical fiscal rules implemented in the Public Finance Act in light of security, exposure to risk and instability of public finance. The author comments on robustness of these rules and their influence on political pressure of budgetary process and impact of economic processes. The author claims that both market economy and democracy create the environment of public finance management. It is widely accepted to implement numerical fiscal rules into system of public finance, as such rules allow to build the mechanisms of security for process of collecting public revenues as well as executing public expenditure. Therefore, the proper construction of numerical fiscal rules grows plausibility and ensures independence of public finance from political pressure.
13
Content available remote

Rule-Based Versus Discretionary Fiscal Policy

88%
Olsztyn Economic Journal
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2016
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vol. 11
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issue 3
265-276
EN
Fiscal policy can be of a discretionary or rule-based nature. This article discuses selected examples of fiscal rules as well as presents the advantages and disadvantages of following them. The aim of the article is to solve dilemmas about the positive and negative consequences of strict regulations of contemporary fiscal policy. Therefore, a hypothesis is tested concerning whether the following of rules in macroeconomic policy is a more beneficial solution than carrying out a discretionary policy. The hypothesis was not clearly verified. On the one hand, it was stated that it is usually more beneficial to follow standard rules due to higher reliability for markets. On the other hand, that entails lower flexibility, which may be especially disadvantageous during a crisis.
EN
Theoretical background: The contemporary approach to public debt is multi-faceted. Debt incurred to finance current expenses is assessed differently than debt financing capital expenditure. This distinction is also important from the point of view of local authorities as part of their budgetary policy. Each decision related to incurring a debt has not only financial consequences, but is also made in the political and image context. It is worth noting that the current research on debt insufficiently emphasizes its direct impact on the socio-economic development of a given local government unit, devoting much more attention to the impact of debt on the condition of public finances. In the case of the first stream of research, significant discrepancies should be noted with regard to the selection of optimal indicators for measuring the impact of debt on local development. Therefore, one should agree that local development is conditioned by a whole group of factors dependent and independent of local authorities. The article attempts to verify several indicators of the development of infrastructure partially financed with debt. Purpose of the article: Against this background, the subject of this study is to identify the policy of incurring debt by local government units in Poland in the longer term, to determine the degree of diversification of this policy, as well as, and perhaps above all, to link this policy with development processes. In order to avoid a superficial approach to such outlined issues, the scope of observation was limited to the communes of the Małopolska Voivodeship. Such an approach also made it possible to take into account a longer period of observation of the surveyed communes (2010–2020). Research methods: Out of the total number of 179 communes existing in Małopolska, 11 urban communes (the whole group due to their limited number), 20 rural communes and 20 urban-rural communes were randomly selected for the study. The basic criterion for assessing the policy of municipalities in relation to local debt was the ratio of total debt per capita to total revenue per capita. This indicator allows to determine the level of debt burden on communes’ revenue. Next, the total impact of variables characterizing the budgetary policy of the commune was examined, such as: a) own revenue per capita, b) investment expenditure per capita, c) non-recoverable property expenditure per capita (mainly from the European Union), d) debt per capita, on selected indicators of the development of municipal infrastructure of the commune, affecting the quality of life of the commune’s inhabitants. Progress in the development of infrastructure improves the conditions for conducting business activity of private enterprises, including the location of new entities, which may result in an increase in the commune’s own revenue. The study used a multiple correlation coefficient, the value of which was calculated in each distinguished cluster of communes. The obtained results allowed to assess how the level of indebtedness of communes influenced the socio-economic development of these units. Main findings: The conducted analysis made it possible to determine the degree of restrictiveness carried out by the authorities of the analyzed municipalities of Małopolska. The level of the multiple correlation coefficient calculated for municipalities between the explanatory variables characterizing the budgetary policy of municipalities (investment expenditure per capita, debt per capita, non-refundable property expenditure per capita and the dependent variable own revenue per capita) proves a fairly strong relationship between the analyzed variables. On the other hand, in rural communes with a low restrictive budget policy (with a high debt ratio), the total impact of the indicated variables on the level of infrastructure development is generally stronger than in communes with a more disciplined budget policy (with a lower debt level). In the case of urban-rural communes with a low-restrictive budget policy (high debt ratio), the total impact of the analyzed variables on the level of infrastructure development in a commune is generally stronger than in communes with a more disciplined budget policy (with a lower level of debt).
|
2023
|
vol. 10
|
issue 57
414-428
EN
This paper aims to assess the impact of the second-generation numerical fiscal rules on the effectiveness of public debt management in the Member States of the European Union. The research was conducted using dynamic panel models on a sample of 27 EU Member States over the period 2008–2021. The effectiveness of public debt management was determined by the level of public debt servicing costs, considering not only the impact of the quality of numerical fiscal rules on interest payments, but also other factors influenced by these rules, such as the quality of fiscal policy, the solvency of public finances and the quality of institutional governance. The motivation for this topic was to evaluate the effectiveness of the second-generation numerical fiscal rules following the changes made to their design in the context of the reconstruction of the EU fiscal surveillance system after the global economic and financial crisis of 2008–2010. The research has found that strong numerical fiscal rules improve the effectiveness of public debt management. In addition, stable fiscal policy and higher solvency of public finances, as well as political stability and the absence of violence, are conducive to lower public debt servicing costs. This paper enriches the literature by extending it with a new approach to fiscal rules, highlighting their multifaceted impact on the quality of public debt management.
EN
The article attempts to define the sui generis concept of financial security of local government units and discusses the selected instruments enabling it to achieve. Systemic, legal, economic and technical instruments of financial security of local government units are considered. The article also includes the latest solutions in this field, or the practical application of fiscal rules, long-term financial forecast. These latter instruments are differently evaluated in the literature.
PL
Artykuł stanowi próbę określenia sui generis pojęcia ochrony finansów jednostek samorządu terytorialnego oraz zostały w nim omówione wybrane instrumenty umożliwiające jej osiągnięcie. Rozważane są systemowe (ustrojowe), prawne, ekonomiczne oraz techniczne instrumenty ochrony finansów jednostek samorządu terytorialnego. W pracy uwzględniono także najnowsze rozwiązania w tym zakresie, jak stosowane w praktyce reguły fiskalne czy wieloletnia prognoza finansowa. Te ostatnie instrumenty są różnie oceniane w literaturze przedmiotu.
EN
The article analyzes the nature and importance of the so-called Medium-Term Budgetary Objective (MTO) in the financial system of the European Union. The author discusses the MTO calculation method, which is consistent with the requirements of the EU’s Stability and Growth Pact. Baran also compares the results of the calculations with objectives declared by EU member states in their 2012 stability/convergence programs and assesses the effectiveness of the MTO. The role of the MTO in the EU financial system has evolved over the years, the author notes. In the first few years after the establishment of the euro area, nominal convergence criteria played the most important role. The MTO was expected to gain greater significance after the first change to the Stability and Growth Pact in 2005. The underlying idea behind the MTO was to provide a margin of safety in order to facilitate the maintenance of the fiscal balance and public debt within the limits specified in the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (TFEU). However, the adopted solutions proved to be ineffective, according to Baran, due to a lack of enforcement mechanisms combined with an inadequate mix of expansionary and pro-cyclical fiscal policies. In the future, the role of the MTO in the EU financial system may increase due to factors including the latest financial and economic crisis, the author says. Under the huge fiscal imbalances and high public debt levels in various EU economies (in 2012 the average debt ratio in the euro area stood at 93% of GDP), the MTO has been assigned a new role - to support the process of restoring the bloc’s fiscal stability, Baran notes. Since 2009, the MTO has been more strongly influenced by the level of debt, the author says. Countries with debt levels higher than a reference value must make an “extra effort” to reduce their debt. Moreover, implicit liabilities in the form of future costs related to population aging have become a new factor shaping the MTO. The rules according to which the MTO is designed have been standardized, but they have also become more complex. The MTO targets for the most heavily indebted countries are now more demanding. The effectiveness of the MTO as a fiscal rule will largely depend on its enforcement as part of the fiscal surveillance process and on the determination of member states in pursuing adjustments, the author concludes.
PL
Celem artykułu jest analiza istoty i znaczenia średniookresowego celu budżetowego (Medium-Term Budgetary Objective, MTO) w systemie reguł budżetowych w UE. W artykule zaprezentowano sposób wyznaczania MTO zgodny z wymogami nowego Paktu Stabilności i Wzrostu, porównano wyniki kalkulacji z celami zadeklarowanymi przez państwa członkowskie w ich programach stabilności/konwergencji z 2012 r. oraz poddano ocenie skuteczność reguły. Na przestrzeni lat funkcja MTO w systemie reguł budżetowych ewoluowała. W pierwszym okresie funkcjonowania strefy euro najważniejszą rolę odgrywały nominalne kryteria konwergencji, a celom średniookresowym przypisywano mniejszą wagę. Numeryczna reguła MTO miała nabrać większego znaczenia po pierwszych zmianach w Pakcie Stabilności i Wzrostu (2005 r.). Podstawą jej koncepcji stał się wówczas margines bezpieczeństwa, który miał ułatwiać utrzymanie salda budżetowego i długu publicznego w granicach określonych w TFUE. Przyjęte rozwiązania okazały się jednak mało skuteczne, między innymi z powodu braku mechanizmów egzekwujących realizację MTO i ekspansywnej postawy państw członkowskich w zakresie polityki budżetowej. Miejsce MTO w systemie reguł budżetowych w UE może wzrosnąć w następstwie kryzysu finansowego i gospodarczego. W obecnych uwarunkowaniach gospodarczych, kiedy państwa UE charakteryzują się znaczną nierównowagą fiskalną i wysokim poziomem długu publicznego, MTO przypisano funkcję wspomagającą proces przywracania stabilności fiskalnej. Od 2009 r., na cel średniookresowy w większym stopniu wpływa wielkość zadłużenia (państwa z poziomem zadłużenia wyższym niż wartość referencyjna muszą uwzględnić „dodatkowy wysiłek” nakierowany na jego redukcję), a dodatkowym czynnikiem kształtującym MTO stały się zobowiązania ukryte czyli przyszłe koszty związane z procesem starzenia się społeczeństwa. Zasady konstrukcji MTO zostały ujednolicone, ale jednocześnie stały się bardziej skomplikowane, a cele bardziej wymagające w stosunku do państw najbardziej zadłużonych. Skuteczność reguły MTO będzie w znacznej mierze zależeć od jej egzekwowania w ramach procesu nadzoru budżetowego oraz determinacji państw w realizacji dostosowań.
PL
Kryzys finansowy i znaczące pogorszenie stanu finansów publicznych doprowadziły do wzmocnienia instrumentów mających na celu zapewnienie stabilności finansowej państwa, w tym reguł fiskalnych. Przedmiotem artykułu są reguły fiskalne obejmujące jednostki samorządu terytorialnego (JST) Unii Europejskiej na poziomie lokalnym. W artykule podjęto próbę odpowiedzi na pytanie, jak zmieniała się konstrukcja reguł fiskalnych w JST, szczególnie w sytuacjach kryzysowych, i jaka była skuteczność tych regulacji. Przedstawiono wyniki analiz statystycznych, które objęły lata 2001-2020. Ponieważ wielkości zagregowane przy tak dużej różnorodności lokalnych systemów finansowych są trudno porównywalne, w artykule przedstawiono wyniki dwóch case studies (Portugalii i Polski). Podczas badania nie stwierdzono istotnych korelacji pomiędzy liczbą reguł fiskalnych czy siłą reguł a wielkością deficytu JST w relacji do PKB. Podsumowując analizę sytuacji finansowej gmin polskich i portugalskich, można stwierdzić, że kondycja finansowa JST jest mocno zróżnicowana w zależności od wielkości gminy, co utrudnia sformułowanie ogólnych wniosków dotyczących powiązań między regułami fiskalnymi a kondycją finansową JST.
EN
The financial crisis and significant deterioration of public finances have led to the strengthening of instruments aimed at ensuring the financial stability of the state, including fiscal rules. The article1 focuses on the fiscal rules binding the local self-government units (LGUs) of the European Union. An attempt was made to answer the question of how the design of fiscal rules in LGUs has changed, especially in crisis situations, and what was the effectiveness of these regulations. The results of statistical analyses covering the period 2001-2020 are shown. As the aggregated values with such a large variety of local financial systems are difficult to compare, the article presents the results of two case studies (Portugal and Poland), where no significant correlations were found between the number or strength of fiscal rules and the budget deficit indicators. Summarising the analysis of the financial situation of the Polish and Portuguese municipalities, it can be stated that the financial health of LGUs varies greatly depending on the size of the municipality, which makes it difficult to formulate general conclusions regarding the links between the fiscal rules and the financial condition of LGUs.
PL
W opracowaniu podjęto kwestię ogólnych koncepcji polityki ładu gospodarczego i ich aplikacji na przykładzie reguł fiskalnych stosowanych w polityce gospodarczej przez Niemcy. W rozważaniach autor wyszedł z założenia, iż tylko dzięki polityce ładu gospodarczego można rozwiązać nabrzmiałe problemy finansów publicznych w krajach Europy, wynikające z polityki dyskrecjonalnej. Na wstępie przybliżono główne założenia polityki ładu gospodarczego, po czym omówiono reguły fiskalne w Republice Federalnej Niemiec (RFN), które następnie poddano krytycznej analizie z perspektywy ordoliberalnej teorii ładu gospodarczego.
EN
The paper addresses the general concepts of economic order policies (Ordnungspolitik) and their application, as exemplified by the rules used in German economic policy. The author's premise is that only an economic order policy can solve urgent problems of European public finance sectors resulting from the long term discretionary policy. Firstly, the key objectives of the policy of economic order are introduced, then the fiscal rules applied in Germany are discussed, and are subsequently subjected to critical analysis from the perspective of the ordoliberal theory of economic order.
EN
Libya is highly dependent on exhaustible and volatile hydrocarbon resources, which constitute the bulk of government revenues. Although resource wealth provides the means to promote socio-economic development, procyclical fiscal policies threaten macroeconomic stability as well as fiscal sustainability and intergenerational equity. This paper provides an assessment of the cyclically adjusted fiscal stance, analyzes fiscal sustainability according the permanent income framework, and simulates various fiscal policy rules with the objective of developing a rulebased fiscal strategy that would delink the economy from oil price fluctuations, improve the management of resource wealth, and safeguard macroeconomic stability. The empirical results suggest that an “enhanced” structural fiscal balance rule would provide the strongest anchor for policymaking, accommodating for output and/or commodity price shocks, though at the cost of relative complexity.
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