Full-text resources of CEJSH and other databases are now available in the new Library of Science.
Visit https://bibliotekanauki.pl

Refine search results

Journals help

  1. 1 Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych

Authors help

  1. 1 Lira J.

Years help

  1. 1 2013

Results found: 1

first rewind previous Page / 1 next fast forward last

Search results

Search:
in the keywords:  forecast error measures (ex post)
help Sort By:

help Limit search:
first rewind previous Page / 1 next fast forward last
1
Publication available in full text mode
Content available

A COMPARISON OF THE USEFULNESS OF WINTERS’ AND SARIMA MODELS IN FORECASTING OF PROCUREMENT PRICES OF MILK IN POLAND

100%
Lira J.
Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych
|
2013
|
vol. 14
|
issue 1
325-333
EN
In the paper the Winters’ model has been studied as one from adaptive models based on exponential smoothing methods as well as seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model SARIMA. The aim of the paper is the assessment of accuracy of short-term forecasts of procurement prices of milk in Poland. Empirical verification of ex post forecasts of monthly procurement prices of milk on the basis of 109 time series with 12-month forecast horizon was conducted. Forecasts constructed with the use of SARIMA model are more often exact than when additive and multiplicative Winters’ model are used.
first rewind previous Page / 1 next fast forward last
JavaScript is turned off in your web browser. Turn it on to take full advantage of this site, then refresh the page.