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Global risks – irrationality, identification and new type of threats

100%

HOCMAN F.

Kultura Bezpieczeństwa. Nauka – Praktyka – Refleksje

2016

vol. 21(21)

138-146

Systematic analysis based on the assumption of rational behaviour of human being in addition to the mathematical models is based on the inherent factors in quantification of global risks. Decisions are made based on all available information, to act in order to maximize the utility. However, the current state of global quantification of risks based on the probability of economic loss scenarios, rationality of action in emergencies excludes and puts to the forefront scenarios likelihood and severity based on information asymmetry. If all risk takers were fully informed, it would avoid the moral hazard and the amount of individual risks would be stable in the global context.

Cardiovascular risk factors determined via the Internet in 2 periods of time: 2004–2009 and 2010–2015 in Poland

86%

Trzeciak B. G., Siebert J., Gutknecht P., Molisz A., Filipiak K. J., Wożakowska-Kapłon B.

International Journal of Occupational Medicine and Environmental Health

2017

vol. 30

issue 3

499-510

Objectives Web information systems may serve as a diagnostic tool for the Internet users and they also support the epidemiological work of doctors and health care providers. As part of this study, a system has been created for detecting and calculating cardiovascular risk. The aim of this study has been the comparison of cardiovascular risk factors and calculated fatal cardiovascular risk in 2 periods of time: 2004–2009 and 2010–2015 in Poland, as determined via the Internet. Material and Methods The “Ryzyko program” (“Risk program”) is available on the website of the Medical University of Gdańsk. To assess the cardiovascular death risk in a 10-year period, the algorithm of the SCORE (Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation) project was used and 30 402 results of the algorithm have been analyzed. Results Over 30 402 webpage visitors entered the required data and received the outcome. More than 78% of the Internet users who had entered the data, received a recommendation for medical check-up. Significant differences between the data collected in 2004– 2009 and 2010–2015 were noticed. Hypercholesterolemia prevalence (67.3% vs. 70.8%; p < 0.001), mean total cholesterol concentration in blood (5.60±1.65 mml/l vs. 5.66±1.35 mml/l; p < 0.001), prevalence of hypertension (36.6% vs. 35.3%; p = 0.039), mean systolic blood pressure (131.5±20.3 mm Hg vs. 132.6±18.0 mm Hg; p < 0.001), prevalence of declared smoking (30.7% vs. 26.5%; p < 0.001), declared diabetes mellitus (DM) (6.4% vs. 9.7%; p < 0.001), and declared coronary artery disease (CAD) (7.2% vs. 14.1%; p < 0.001), respectively. Conclusions The prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors has changed during the observed period of time. Online automatic gathering of new data by “Ryzyko program” provides up-to-date observations. Int J Occup Med Environ Health 2017;30(3):499–510

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1 International Journal of Occupational Medicine and Environmental Health

1 Kultura Bezpieczeństwa. Nauka – Praktyka – Refleksje

1 Filipiak K. J.

1 Gutknecht P.

1 HOCMAN F.

1 Molisz A.

1 Siebert J.

1 Trzeciak B. G.

1 Wożakowska-Kapłon B.

1 2018

1 2017

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Global risks – irrationality, identification and new type of threats

Cardiovascular risk factors determined via the Internet in 2 periods of time: 2004–2009 and 2010–2015 in Poland