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EN
Cultural linguistics as a modern branch of the science of language exerts a detrimental effect on linguistic research, particularly in methodology. It is justly criticized for deficiency of logic, intuitive knowledge and subjectivity. The empirical method proves that linguistic structures typical of a particular language are not to be identified with a peculiar world view. Language has no creative potential to spawn a world of its own, so the phrase “linguistic mentality” is nothing but a metaphor. There is no asserting parallel relationship between thought and language, nor the dependence of ethnic mentality on a certain language type. Variation in world views prevails over language structures, inasmuch as a variety of ways to express ideas exceeds the number of language types.
PL
Prognozowanie zjawisk społecznych bywa pod wieloma względami utrudnione. Wynika to stąd, że w naturze tych zjawisk tkwi silne i wielostronne powiązanie z innymi zjawiskami społecznymi; ale nie tylko - także fizycznymi czy biologicznymi. Treścią publikacji jest przedstawienie wybranych problemów, z jakimi borykają się aktualnie - zwłaszcza w naukach społecznych (w tym także w naukach politycznych) - futurolodzy. Choć artykuł przedstawia różne metody badawcze, ich klasyfikacje itd.. to skoncentrowano się przede wszystkim na metodach heurystycznych: ich genezie, zasadach, sposobie wykorzystania.
EN
Forecasting social phenomena can, in many ways, be difficult. The reason is that it is the nature of these phenomena to be closely and multilaterally linked with physical, biological, and other social phenomena. The main aim of this article is to present selected problems related to futurology. Although various research methods are presented in this text, the main focus was put to heuristic methods (their development, rules, ways of application ect.).
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