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Alternative investments during turbulent times - a comparison of dynamic relationships

100%
Siemaszkiewicz K.
Przegląd Statystyczny
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2022
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vol. 69
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issue 3
23-43
EN
The COVID-19 pandemic, like the Russian aggression against Ukraine, had a significant impact on many financial markets and asset prices. The latter additionally led to large fluctuations on financial markets. In our paper, we try to compare the performance of 'safe haven' assets during turbulent times, such as the recent global financial crisis, the eurozone debt crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian aggression against Ukraine. We investigate the dynamic relationship between indices from several European countries (Czech Republic, France, Germany, Great Britain, Poland, Slovakia and Spain), and popular financial instruments (gold, silver, Brent and WTI crude oil, US dollar, Swiss franc and Bitcoin). The study further estimates the parameters of DCC or CCC models to compare dynamic relationships between the above-mentioned stock markets and financial instruments. The results demonstrate that in most cases, the US dollar and Swiss franc were able to protect investors from stock market losses during turbulent times. In addition, investors from France, Poland, the Czech Republic and Slovakia saw gold as a 'safe haven' asset throughout all the abovementioned crises. Our findings are in line with other literature which points out that 'safe haven' instruments can change over time and across countries. In the literature, we can find research performed for the USA, China, Canada, and Great Britain, but there is no such research for Poland, France, the Czech Republic or Slovakia. The purpose of this paper is to try to fill this research gap.
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Safe haven instruments – a comparison between the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic

100%
Siemaszkiewicz K.
Econometrics. Ekonometria. Advances in Applied Data Analytics
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2021
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vol. 25
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issue 4
1-16
PL
Podczas globalnego kryzysu finansowego i pandemii COVID-19 rynki finansowe zanotowały najniższe wartości indeksów giełdowych. Należy pamiętać, że aktualny kryzys różni się od globalnego kryzysu finansowego. W artykule porównano dynamikę instrumentów safe haven podczas globalnego kryzysu finansowego oraz pandemii COVID-19. Przeanalizowano dynamiczną relację między złotem, srebrem, indeksami US Dollar, Swiss franc, kontraktami terminowymi na soję i kukurydzę oraz rynkami giełdowymi dla inwestorów z Niemiec, Wielkiej Brytanii, Francji, Hiszpani, Włoch oraz Polski. Wyestymowano parametry modelów DCC albo CCC, by porównać dynamiczną relację między wspomnianymi rynkami giełdowymi i instrumentami finansowymi. Wyniki pokazują, że jedynie złoto może być traktowane jako instrument safe haven podczas obu rozważanych kryzysów. Podczas globalnego kryzysu finansowego złoto, indeksy US Dollar i Swiss franc w prawie wszystkich krajach zidentyfikowano jako instrument safe haven.
EN
During the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008 and the COVID-19 pandemic, financial markets have e touched their lowest levels. This paper tried to compare the performance of safe haven assets during the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic in such countries as Germany, Great Britain, France, Spain, Italy, and Poland. The author investigated the dynamic relations between gold, silver, the US Dollar Index, the Swiss Franc Index, soybean commodity futures and corn commodity futures. The study estimated the DCC or CCC models to compare the dynamic relation between the above-mentioned stock markets and financial instruments. The results showed that only gold could protect investors from stock market losses during both crises. During the GFC, gold, the USD Index, the Swiss Franc Index in almost all the considered countries could be identified as safe haven instruments. Surprisingly, the Swiss Franc Index acted as a safe haven instrument during the GFC but not during the COVID-19 pandemic. During the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 and the COVID-19 pandemic, the financial markets have touched their lowest levels. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the US stock markets experienced their worst turmoil since the 1930s; for example, the GFC but not during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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