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Forecasting Future Salaries in the Czech Republic Using Stochastic Modelling

100%
Šimpach O., Langhamrová J.
Business Systems Research Journal
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2013
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vol. 4
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issue 2
4-125
EN
Background: In spite of the course of the economic crisis of 2008, there have not been changes dramatic to the extent that they would strongly alter the behaviour of the trend in the Average Gross Monthly Wages and the Monthly Wage Medians in the Czech Republic. In order to support public and monetary planning, reliable forecasts of future salaries are indispensable. Objectives: The aim is to provide an outline of the behaviour of the average gross wages and the gross wage medians of the Czech business sphere up to the end of 2018 using an optimised random walk model and an optimised ARIMA Model with a constant. Methods: Consumer price indices were used in the confrontation of the behaviour of the Average Gross Monthly Wages and the Monthly Wage Medians with the behaviour of inflation in the Czech Republic. The Box-Jenkins methodology is used for the time series modelling. Results: The Czech Average Gross Monthly Wages and the Monthly Wage Medians in the business sector will continue to grow more rapidly than the Czech inflation growth, expressed by consumer price indices. Conclusions: It is possible to expect that the rising trend of the Average Gross Monthly Wages and the Gross Wage Medians will be more rapid than the growth of inflation.
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Georg Norbert Schnabel and statistics

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Závodský P., Šimpach O.
Śląski Przegląd Statystyczny
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2018
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issue 16 (22)
77-90
EN
In the first half of XIXth century in Bohemia, statistics had been developed in the understanding of the school of Achenwall and Schlözer. Its main exponent there was G. N. Schnabel (1791–1857), who was a professor of statistics at the university in Prague. This article is about all the main statistical publications of Schnabel, and demonstrates their gradual modernization, usage of comprehensive tables, and basic statistical analysis according to the patterns of political arithmetic and statistical graphs. Schnabel’s activity was the culmination, but also the final stage, of the development of traditional university statistics in Bohemia. It also mentions the activity of Schnabel in organizing official statistics in Bohemia, his disputes with Austrian censorship and the later controversies in the matter of national statistics.
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