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ANALYSIS OF CZECH/SLOVAK EXPORTS AND GERMAN ECONOMY

100%
Krkošková R.
Ekonomický časopis (Journal of Economics)
|
2021
|
vol. 69
|
issue 1
18 – 33
EN
This article compares the relationship between exports of goods and services of the Czech Republic and the development of economy of Germany, and between exports of goods and services of Slovakia and the development of economy of Germany. Germany is a major trading partner for the Czech Republic and also for Slovakia. Do Czech or Slovak exports influence the German GDP? This paper tries to find reasons for possible differences or similarities between the Czech Republic and Slovakia. The article uses the tools of time series econometrics, especially the ADF test, the Engle-Granger co-integration test, the error correction model, and the impulse-response analysis. Achieved results suggest that co-integration relationship between the Czech exports in goods and services and the German GDP exists. This relationship has not been confirmed for the Slovak exports in goods and services. The data used has the character of quarterly time series in the period from 2000Q1 to 2019Q1. EViews software version 9 has been used for the calculations.
2

IMPACT OF MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS ON MORTGAGE LOANS IN THE V4

63%
Krkošková R., Szkorupová Z.
Ekonomický časopis (Journal of Economics)
|
2021
|
vol. 69
|
issue 6
627 – 646
EN
The aim of this article is to analyse the impact of selected macroeconomic indicators on mortgage loans in the V4. This group of countries was chosen because they are close, both geographically and economically. This paper tries to find reasons for possible differences or similarities between the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland and Hungary. The article analyses whose of the macroeconomic variables (GDP, inflation, the unemployment rate, and mortgage interest rate) affect the volume of mortgage loans. The article uses the tools of time series econometrics, especially the ADF test, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, Error Correction Model (ECM), and the Granger causality test. It was found that there is a short-term relationship between the volume of mortgage loans and GDP for all countries, except Poland. Over a longer time series, however, a long-term relationship exists for all of countries between the volume of mortgage loans and GDP, the mortgage interest rate, and the unemployment rate. The used data is based on a quarterly time series running from 2005Q1 to 2019Q4.
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