PL EN


1998 | 60 | 89-105
Article title

Jakość prognoz przedsiębiorstw przemysłowych

Authors
Content
Title variants
EN
Ouality of Forecasts of Industrial Enterprises
Languages of publication
PL
Abstracts
EN
In this chapter, an attempt to analyze ąuality of predictions of industrial enterprises is described. Data originates from monthly questionnaires conducted by the Institute of Economic Developments Warsaw School of Economics. Usually, two groups of questions are included in questionnaires of overall economic situation. First group concerns current values of various economic variables, second one - changes in these values in near futurę. Expectations of respondents create a certain expert system of predictions. The obvious question is: what is the quality of these predictions? In this chapter, attention has been focused on industrial output which plays a major part in building a comprehensiye coefficient of economic conditions of industry.
Year
Volume
60
Pages
89-105
Physical description
Contributors
author
References
  • [1] Cieślak M. “Prognozowanie gospodarcze, metody i zastosowania”, PWN, Warszawa ,1997.
  • [2] Pawłowski Z. “Prognozy ekonometryczne” , PWN, Warszawa 1973.
  • [3] Theil H. “Economic Forecast and Policy”, North Holland, Amsterdam, 1961.
  • [4] Theil H. ”Applied Economic Forecasting”, North Holland, Amsterdam, 1996.
  • [5] Welfe A. "Ekonometria, metody i ich zastosowanie”, PWE, Warszawa 1995.
Document Type
Publication order reference
Identifiers
YADDA identifier
bwmeta1.element.cejsh-6cb87f19-618c-4f53-8ec1-4e192667038c
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