PL EN


2016 | 19 | 3 | 93-111
Article title

Economic Growth, Corporate Earnings and Equity Returns: Evidence from Central and Eastern European Countries

Content
Title variants
Languages of publication
EN
Abstracts
EN
This paper discusses the links between economic growth, corporate earnings and stock returns. Cross-country correlation studies do not confirm the intuitive assumption that higher returns on equities are more likely in the faster-growing countries. The problem can be analysed more deeply by analysing stock returns with respect to the growth of earnings per share (EPS) and changes in valuation (P/E ratio). Within this framework, two types of factors explaining the lack of correlation between GDP growth and stock returns are distinguished. The empirical research on developed and emerging market countries reveals that in the long run stock price returns are driven by companies’ earnings, and that the lack of correlation between GDP growth and equity returns is almost fully explained by the divergence between GDP growth and EPS growth. In this article the results of an investigation into this area, based on a sample of post-communist Central and Eastern European countries, are presented and discussed. It was found that in these countries changes in valuation (P/E ratio) appear to play an important role, cancelling the impact of EPS growth on stock returns.
Year
Volume
19
Issue
3
Pages
93-111
Physical description
Dates
published
2016-09-01
online
2016-09-24
Contributors
author
  • Ph.D., Full Professor at the University of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology, Department of Industrial Economics and Capital Market, jgajdka@uni.lodz.pl
  • Ph.D., University of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology, Department of Industrial Econonmics and Capital Market, ppietraszewski@uni.lodz.pl
References
Document Type
Publication order reference
Identifiers
YADDA identifier
bwmeta1.element.ojs-doi-10_1515_cer-2016-0022
JavaScript is turned off in your web browser. Turn it on to take full advantage of this site, then refresh the page.