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W artykule wykazano przydatność szacunków wykonanych z użyciem hierarchicznej estymacji bayesowskiej w przypadku znanych wartości hiperparametrów modelu. Pokazano istnienie zgodności między szacunkami z użyciem takiej metody oraz szacunkami z użyciem innej techniki dla małych obszarów, w tym metody EBLUP. (fragment tekstu)
EN
The author presents a method of hierarchical bayesian estimation to estimate the value of the different income variables on the basis of studies of household budgets and POLTAX tax register. Calculations have been made for the case where approximately known a priori evaluation of hyperparameters used to construct a conditional probability, which is used in the model. The author compares the efficiency of the estimates obtained by using other hierarchical methods of estimation for small areas, including the EBLUP estimators type. This gave congruity in precision of the estimated parameters using both techniques. (original abstract)
XX
W artykule dokonano dekompozycji oddziaływania wydatków rządowych na rynek pracy. Analizę przeprowadzono na podstawie modelu nowej ekonomii keynesistowskiej. Estymacje parametrów modelu wykonano metodą bayesowską na podstawie danych kwartalnych z lat 1995-2010. (fragment tekstu)
EN
The article analyzes the demand and supply effects of temporary increase in government spending on the labour market. The analysis was performed using a model of the new Keynesian economics. Estimates of model parameters were determined by the Bayes method. The simulations show that government spending greater impact on the labour market through demand effect than the supply side. Demand effect is stronger for both employment and wages. (original abstract)
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