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Air freight transport in Poland

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EN
Air transport is currently one of the major branches of transport both in the national – and global – economies. It is one of the fastest, most expensive, but at the same time also most effective types of transportation. It plays a fundamental role in the global economy, particularly in the transcontinental carriage of goods and passengers. Its availability and quality constitute a powerful driving force for a country’s development. Air freight transport, both in Poland and worldwide, is seen mostly from the angle of long-distance passenger flights. Given that, one often tends to forget the role of this transport branch in the case of freight transport. Air cargo transport is a booming branch with great development potential. The development of air freight is the key for gaining a competitive advantage by Polish enterprises. This, however, is related to considerable experience and knowledge on the part of both the carrier and the owner of goods with regards to the technical capacities of a given aircraft, maintenance costs, and rule awareness. The objective of the paper is to present the volumes of air cargo shipments in Poland and to identify the hazards and obstacles to its development. The study authors endeavour to analyse air freight transport in Poland. To this end, details will be presented regarding air cargo transport at Polish airports based on the Civil Aviation Authority (ULC) and Central Statistical Office (GUS) data and air market reports.
EN
The article presents the methodology of multi-criteria analysis of unemployment interest rates in selected world economies, and an attempt to forecast the unemployment rate in the USA for three future periods. The research began with an analysis of the multidimensional volatility of unemployment interest rates in selected world economies on a six-month basis in 2011-2018. It was then assessed. The next stage of the study was the analysis and evaluation of the time series of data on the US unemployment interest rates in dynamic terms. Then, the ARIMA forecast model was built and forecasting for three future periods was performed.
PL
W artykule przedstawiono metodykę wielokryterialnej analizy stóp procentowych bezrobocia w wybranych gospodarkach światowych oraz próby przeprowadzenia prognozowania stopy bezrobocia w USA na trzy przyszłe okresy. Badania rozpoczęto od analizy wielowymiarowej zmienności stóp procentowych bezrobocia w wybranych gospodarkach światowych w ujęciu sześciomiesięcznym w latach 2011-2018. Następnie przeprowadzono jej ocenę. Dalszym etapem badania była analiza i ocena szeregu czasowego danych dotyczących stóp procentowych bezrobocia w USA w ujęciu dynamicznym. Następnie zbudowano model prognostyczny ARIMA i wykonano prognozowanie na trzy przyszłe okresy.
EN
The aim of the article is the analysis of quantitative data describing groups of agricultural producers operating under the conditions of Poland's membership in the EU. Their number was analyzed according to the creation periods, i.e. in the years 2004-2013 and 2014-2017, the type of activity broken down into plant products and animal products, paid out amounts under measure 142 - Agricultural Producers Group [measure 142] of the Rural Development Programme. The voivodship dominating the market in terms of absorption of support and the degree of market concentration were determined using the Herfindahl-Hirschman index [HHI]. In terms of region, the phenomenon of significant diversification of farmers' participation in horizontal integration processes within agri-cultural producer groups was observed. Most groups of agricultural producers were established in the Wielkopolskie voivodship, and the least in the Małopolskie voivodship, where it is the most fragmented in the country. High activity of farmers in establishing agricultural producer groups implied obtaining high amounts of support from EU funds. Farmers from the Wielkopolskie, Dolnośląskie and Opolskie voivodships achieved a dominant position on the market in the absorption of funds as part of the 142 PROW action among all voivodships in Poland. In total, they acquired nearly half of all funds [47%]. The degree of market concentration in terms of absorption of EU funds determined using the Herfindahl-Hirschman index was moderate, as it amounted to 1220. It was therefore a level that did not threaten the competition processes in applying for EU support for agricultural producer groups.
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