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EN
The article contains a comparative analysis of the civil society index of selected countries. The analysis is based on diagrams produced by CIVICUS — a supranational network of non-governmental organisations, which supports civil society actions all over the world. The author has also used the data on civil society in Poland gathered in a report by the Klon/Jawor Association. He has carried out an original analysis of the data characterising Polish civil society, using a taxonomic method and observing the criteria of four basic social dimensions: structure, environment, values and impact (effects of actions).
EN
The environment resistance potential is defined as the ability of the landscape to limit the negative pollutant impact consisting a.o.in the limiting, by means of accumulation, of the amount of pollutants circulating in the environment system. In practice, their quantity is contigent on the proporties of the components, which are capable of a relatively long-lasting chemical substance accumulation (thus, above all, the properties of the soil cover). The forecast model of environment changes describes the mechanisms and distribution rate of pollution in the soil profile and the interaction with the functional landscape structure. The methodological assumptions, determining of the real, complex diagnosis of the environment condition and for forecasting of the effects of the persisting anthropopressure and for establishing the necessary measures limiting the progressing degradation. Knowing, even approximatively, the mechanism of the existing changes one can determine the optimal (under circumstances) level of pollutant input, and when its limitation is impossible, one can control the use of the environmental potential in such a way as to minimize its negative impact.
EN
The paper demonstrates an estimation method of the number of vacant parking spaces on the basis of video monitoring data. It provides a method for determining the quality of free/busy car park information using uncertainty modelling method based on certainty factor of hypothesis. The value of quality information IQ (CF) has been calculated with the help of a computer program. The simulation of results was performed depending on the input values change according to the normal distribution.
EN
The article focuses on assessing the effectiveness of a non-statistical approach to bankruptcy modelling in enterprises operating in the logistics sector. In order to describe the issue more comprehensively, the aforementioned prediction of the possible negative results of business operations was carried out for companies functioning in the Polish region of Podkarpacie, and in Slovakia. The bankruptcy predictors selected for the assessment of companies operating in the logistics sector included 28 financial indicators characterizing these enterprises in terms of their financial standing and management effectiveness. The purpose of the study was to identify factors (models) describing the bankruptcy risk in enterprises in the context of their forecasting effectiveness in a one-year and two-year time horizon. In order to assess their practical applicability the models were carefully analysed and validated. The usefulness of the models was assessed in terms of their classification properties, and the capacity to accurately identify enterprises at risk of bankruptcy and healthy companies as well as proper calibration of the models to the data from training sample sets.
EN
By the end of his life Plato had rearranged the theory of ideas into his teaching about ideal numbers, but no written records have been left. The Ideal mathematics of Plato is present in all his dialogues. It can be clearly grasped in relation to the effective use of mathematical modelling. Many problems of mathematical modelling were laid in the foundation of the method by cutting the three-level idealism of Plato to the single-level “ideism” of Aristotle. For a long time, the real, ideal numbers of Plato’s Ideal mathe-matics eliminates many mathematical problems, extends the capabilities of modelling, and improves mathematics.
EN
This paper presents a predicted target architecture of an integrated manufacturing and management system, based on a metropolitan-type intranet and an industrial process control and monitoring network. Such systems are urgently required by prospective users, especially large-scale manufacturing enterprises. Nevertheless, neither big manufacturers of computer integrated manufacturing systems nor big manufacturers of computer integrated systems are willing to develop combined computer integrated manufacturing and management systems. To evaluate performance, a method developed for packet switching networks with end-to-end acknowledgement was applied. The paper describes the investigations carried out for the case study. Some consideration is given to the performance evaluation accuracy, based on the validation work results obtained from analytical work, simulation and measurements on the Polish pilot wide area network.
Organizacija
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2015
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vol. 48
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issue 3
188-197
EN
Background and Purpose: The standardisation and classification of managed events provide a legislative basis to distinguish events managed for tourism in their characteristics and quality. The systems approach to standardisation and classification of managed events is a unique, holistic view of event management quality and event organization in tourism. It enables a clear overview of a researched topic and provides adequate support to design and decision-making. In this paper, we explain the meaning of standardisation and classification for Slovenian legislation related to event management. We present the importance of a systems approach methodology for event categorization and classification as it relates to the quality of event management organization, the quality of staff, the quality of the event program and the quality of event services. Objectives: Provide an overview of events in tourism, related definitions and information gathered from scientific authors, which serves as current systems approach principles with which we want to achieve the desired results, positive changes in legislation; in our case-in the field of managed event quality for tourism through standardisation and classification of events on the national level in Slovenia. Method: A descriptive method and systems approach methods are fundamental methodological principles in our analysis. In the context of a systems approach, we used qualitative modelling and constructed causal loop models (CLD) of the legislative system of events and investments in the events. We also used context-dependent modelling (SD model) in a frame of systems dynamics. Results: We present the most appropriate solution to eliminate our problem or question about how to achieve high quality and unique events within event tourism and with event management, thereby creating added value to an event legislative system. We explain suggestions for achieving triple-bottom elements through well-designed quality standards and classification of events, which leads to an optimal categorization of events. Conclusion: From a systems point of view, event tourism processes, including event management, are systems consisting of people and technologies with the purpose of designing, producing, trading and deploying the idea of an event. It is necessary to transform the current Slovenian legislative system of events and prepare a document which standardizes and classifies events based on systems approach methodology.
EN
Multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods have been implemented in many fields. In the meantime, several methods have been proposed to obtain the weight of the criteria determined by various methods in different ways. In this paper, a new approach, called simultaneous interpretive structural modelling and weighting (SISMW), is proposed to solve a multi-criterion decision-making (MCDM) problem. Using SISMW, the weight of the criteria and the relationship between them could be determined simultaneously. In this approach, like the ISM method, pair comparison between criteria was made by the decision-maker to determine the relationships among the different criteria. With the help of this data, the weight of the criteria, as well as the causal (cause and effect) relationships between them, were determined in 12 steps. The main advantage of this method is that only one stage of data collection is required for obtaining weights and modelling, and so the research process may be faster. This may increase the reliability of the collected data because, in a one-step survey, the impact of time is minimized. This process can be useful for conceptualizing and developing theories to help decisionmakers understand the problem better.
EN
The field of health improvement and life prolonging develops poorly, despite all the advances in medicine, chemistry and genetic engineering. Among the main problems is the difficulty of using new scientific achievements in other industries due to the rapid development of specialized knowledge, the problem of returning costs for the creation of really effective and the problem of aging population in developed countries. There are problems with data for this methods usage with privacy and security on different levels with regional peculiarities. Effective timing of work on health at the personal level can result as a result of increased time and productivity. But it's difficult for people to allocate their intellectual resources for that, so you have to connect artificial intelligence and machine learning. Big Data model with methods and analysis techniques on different levels for health improvement was suggested. The importance of the level of social networks and its regional aspects for the analysis of health improvement data was identified. Big data processing results implementation and levels of interaction with human with request for changes model was proposed. It consists from two levels of interaction with humans by level of quick reaction and discussion with smart personal assistance. Regional aspects from possible AI implementation in undeveloped countries were analyzed on example of personal level big data for health usage.
EN
The paper shows an original approach concept to the problem of determining the current state of company finance, based on a theory similar to the Austrian economic school, supplemented by fuzzy approach. The article presents the analysis offering an original approach to solve the problem as well as a discussion and initial verification of such an approach.
EN
In the realities of modern battlefield, training of soldiers is crucial, therefore it is so important to develop an optimal concept of moving troops by rail transport, for exercises and training in peacetime. Using the simulation of the implementation of rail and road transport, it is possible to analyse and meet the needs of the selected relationship of individual stages of the process studied. Simulation model allows to state that it serves as an illustrative, training element and an element showing some results with changeable situations, therefore it can be a solution for training and making critical decisions for competent commanders.
EN
As a result of the conducted investigations of the level fluctuations in lake naroch the initial data are divided into 3 components: a polynomial regression that makes it possible to find out an independent on time law of trajectory, a periodic component of sinusoidal type and a residual sequence of independent random quantities. Modeling of the trajectory fluctuations is based on the deterministic part, consisting of the regression of the 8th order and periodic component, and also the random part, consisting of independent equally distributed quantities. Using this model it can be modeled the trajectory of the level fluctuations in lake naroch. The modeled trajectory by 200 years long demonstrated the probability of exceeding of maximum annual level, equal 1 per cent.
DE
The common issue of writing concepts is modelling of the processes which can increase the ability of acquiring the writing competence. It is necessary to consider different aspects included in the process of acquiring the writing ability: cognitive, communicative, language productive, language receptive, language reflexive, rational and emotional aspects.
EN
The study aims to reconstruct land usage at the confluence of Radoľský stream and Kysuca river on the basis of critical historical research of 16th century archival documents, and historical maps from three military mappings (1789, 1823 and 1882). The study uses methodological procedures based on verified historical-geographic, environmental, and historical-landscape methodical analyses. The conclusions were complemented by field research. Digital modelling allowed reconstructions (digital maps) of the land cover to be created, i.e. land use in the given time period.
PL
W artykule autor przedstawił główne walory informacyjne i implementacyjne modeli społeczno-ekonomiczno-przyrodniczych. Zawierają one walory: opisowe, porządkujące, poznawcze, predykcyjne i decyzyjne. Jako obiekt wykorzystano model funkcji produkcji. Autor omówił także wybrane wyzwania informacyjne procesu modelowania. Dotyczą one między innymi: – wykorzystywanych mierników (wskaźników); – dostępnych zbiorów danych (czy informacji); – postaci analitycznych modeli i ich estymacji; – wykorzystania: poznawczego, predykcyjnego i decyzyjnego modeli. Autor dokonał identyfikacji głównych barier informacyjnych modelowania społeczno-ekonomiczno-przyrodniczego.
EN
The author lists the main advantages of the social-economic-natural models in terms of information and implementation. These advantages encompass descriptive, classificatory, cognitive, predictive, and decision benefits. The production function model is used as an object of the study. The author discusses selected informative challenges of the modelling process. They concern, among other things: – used measures (coefficients), – accessible data set (or information set), – analytic forms of models and their estimation, – cognitive, predictive and decisive application of models. The author identifies the most serious informative barriers in social-economic-natural modelling.
PL
W procesie kształcenia studentów architektury jednym z podstawowych problemów jest uświadomienie im znaczenia pojęcia kompozycja – jako podstawowego dla wszelkiej twórczości plastycznej, a zwłaszcza dla projektowania architektury. Praca niniejsza prezentuje element tego procesu kształcenia, który ściśle wiąże teorię z praktyką twórczą przy wykorzystaniu różnych mediów, w celu przygotowania kompozycji przestrzennej. Służą temu odpowiednio dobrane zadania, które wprowadzono w ramach kursów bloku kompozycyjno-plastycznego na Wydziale Architektury Politechniki Wrocławskiej, już na pierwszym poziomie nauczania. W opracowaniu omówiono grupę prostych zadań i sposobów ich realizacji ze względu na wprowadzanie elementów teorii kompozycji (jej cech, zależności, zasad), zastosowane tworzywo i technologię wykonania oraz rodzaje dokumentacji idei projektowej. W artykule zawarto także opis metodologii realizacji kolejnych etapów tych zadań oraz dokumentację fotograficzną z opisem wybranych przykładów prac studenckich (płyty, ściany, bryły). Realizacja tej grupy zadań dydaktycznych umożliwia jednoczesne weryfikowanie związków pomiędzy projektowaną formą, jej konstrukcją i cechami materiału, pozwala także na koordynowanie procesów projektowania równolegle – w zapisie płaskim (rysunek na wszystkich etapach) i w realnej przestrzeni. Są one tym samym istotnym elementem warsztatu plastycznego przyszłych architektów.
EN
In the educational process of architecture students one of the essential problems is to make them aware of the importance of the concept composition – as a basic one for all artistic activity, especially for the architectural designing. This paper presents an element of this educational process which closely connects the theory with creative practice using different media, in order to realize the three-dimensional composition. Adequately chosen educational tasks, which have been introduced within the confines of composition-artistic block courses at the Faculty of Architecture of Wrocław University of Science and Technology at the primary level, are very helpful. In the paper a group of simple tasks and ways of their realization for the sake of introducing some elements of composition theory (its features, relationships, rules), used materials and technology of execution as well as some kinds of designing idea documentation is described. This paper also contains the report on the realization methodology of the next steps of these tasks and also described photos of chosen students’ work examples (plates, walls, solids). Realization of this group of educational tasks makes it possible to verify connections between the designed form, its construction and characteristics of material, it also allows to co-ordinate designing processes simultaneously – in two-dimensional notation (drawing, at all stages) and during modelling in real space. And so they are an important element of the future architects art technique.
EN
The article reveals the potential of modelling the dynamics of sociocultural objects and processes as the effective means of studying the sociocultural reality at the modern stage of the human civilization development. There has been demonstrated that modelling the dynamics of sociocultural phenomena provides much better understanding of the behaviour of such a type systems in the course of their projecting and functioning under conditions of establishment and development of learning societies. It has been proved that the adult open education is a complex, open and non-linear system of sociocultural dynamics of «processual» nature, the elements of which are capable of self-organization, sensitive to the occasional interruptions in the stable condition, are able to change the behavioural scenarios at their own will. In managing the dynamics of sociocultural systems there are two approaches: the behavior management and goal management. It has been shown that the most effective strategy of managing the systems of sociocultural dynamics is considered to be the attractive management whose main point is to run the goal-attractor as a way of managing «the growing points» of self-organization for dynamic systems. An efficient tool for studying the dynamics of sociocultural systems is modelling. Modelling the dynamics of sociocultural systems of «processual» nature allows gaining a better understanding of their behaviour. It has been demonstrated that the processes of sociocultural dynamics are described by various trajectories of growth and descent (linear, logarithmic, exponential etc.) and can be represented by corresponding models. The conclusion has been drawn that the model of logistic trajectory (S-trajectory) gives a possibility for the most accurate description of the sociocultural processes behavior which are characterized by a slight growth at the beginning, gradual increase until the trajectory reaches the inflexion point and then the tempo decreases. The further development of the logistic model is the logistic evolution model which allows making a research of the phase sequence in the systems development through the sociocultural dynamics. The analysis of the sociocultural dynamics through the logistic evolution models gives a possibility for better understanding the nature of sociocultural processes and especially the situations when inconspicuous reasons cause dramatic consequences.
EN
Sustainable development and natural disasters are closely interlinked. The impact of catastrophic events on the environment is still very difficult to determine, and such losses are generally underestimated. Development is never neutral in relation to catastrophes: it creates, enhances or reduces the risk of their occurrence. Selection of appropriate methods and mathematical models for risk assessment in relation to the specific features and characteristics of the considered system and available information and resources, is a key parameter of reliability assessment. Numerous authors applied AHP methods with flood risk assessment, but very limited literature is avaliable on the use of fuzzy multiobjective analysis in flood studies. In the recent years, the fuzzy approach for flood risk assessments has gained greater importance. In this paper, we present the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) model for flood risk assessments. Two flood hazard indexes were defined, one based on natural factors and one based on anthropogenic factors. FAHP is applied to data sets to illustrate a model.
PL
Zrównoważony rozwój i katastrofy naturalne są ściśle ze sobą powiązane. Wpływ wydarzeń o charakterze katastroficznym na środowisko jest nadal trudny do określenia i takie straty są generalnie niedoszacowane. Rozwój nigdy nie jest neutralny w stosunku do katastrof: tworzy on, zwiększa lub redukuje ryzyko ich wystąpienia. Wybór właściwych metod i modeli matematycznych do oceny ryzyka w stosunku do określonych cech i funkcji danego systemu, a także dostępnych informacji i zasobów jest kluczowym parametrem w ocenie wiarygodności. Wielu autorów stosowało metody AHP przy ocenie ryzyka powodzi, ale niewiele publikacji dotyczy zastosowania rozmytej analizy wieloobiektowej w badaniach nad powodziami. W ostatnich latach, rozmyte podejście oceny ryzyka powodzi zyskało na znaczeniu. W niniejszej pracy przedstawiamy model rozmytego analitycznego procesu hierarchicznego (ang. FAHP) do oceny ryzyka powodzi. Zdefiniowano dwa wskaźniki zagrożenia powodzią, jeden oparty na czynnikach naturalnych i jeden na czynnikach antropogenicznych. FAHP został zastosowany w celu zilustrowania modelu.
EN
This article investigates the situation of Hungarian ethno-linguistic minorities in Slovenia and the Slovak Republic. It compares the extent to which the two minority groups’ interests are satisfied and provides an explanation for differences between their de facto statuses. The authors use a logic-based methodology to extract the key parties, issues, and interests. Drawing on the analysis, the structure of each case (i.e. the dependencies between the parties’ interests) is displayed as a simple graph. Differences in the de facto status of the two groups can thus be explained by differences in the respective conflict structure. The authors argue that - as evidenced by the case of the Hungarian minority in Slovakia - a number of unresolved ethnolinguistic minority issues in Central Europe have a high conflict potential and may be a threat for security in the region and the European Union.
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